th4m2gj1v9ap
0xb2755944adf08a9480855c3256dccf17541f7a5c
- Realised P&L
- $15.60
- Volume
- $48.6k
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $23.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.955 | $11.37 | +$1.37 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.010 | $5.21 | +$1.56 |
| Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6? · No | 0.993 | 0.998 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.996 | $2.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset? · No | 0.740 | 0.595 | $1.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.16 | −$0.39 |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.47at 0.203Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$76.74at 0.207Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$68.97at 0.303XRP Up or Down - April 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$68.50at 0.226Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8PM ET
- +$59.14at 0.403Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:09 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 15:06 | Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6? | BUY | 0.993 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 15:05 | Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 12:12 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 11:48 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.03 |
| 11-01 11:48 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.17 |
| 11-01 11:48 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 11-01 10:33 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 10:05 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.02 |
| 11-01 09:07 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 05:44 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.00 |
| 10-30 19:01 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.00 |
| 10-30 16:25 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.00 |
| 10-30 03:53 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.00 |
| 10-30 03:53 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.01 |