Yairyakov
0x8b73da0f8a82079ac76f3d964082b03e5eff4e3a
- Realised P&L
- $-309.96
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $53.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.29at 0.255Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
- +$23.56at 0.310Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$22.72at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
- +$19.20at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$16.48at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 19:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 07-26 19:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | BUY | 0.0089999982 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 19:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | BUY | 0.0369999926 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 19:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 14:50 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 12:53 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 07-26 12:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 07-23 18:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.34 | $51.00 |
| 07-19 18:34 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0310000002 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 18:34 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 18:33 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0370000003 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 18:13 | Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.0233092844 | $10.00 |