PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x88daaaf578742d4a6c5440afc6c6cb3e25f715c6

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$283.9k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6990.795$1.7k+$210.47
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.6640.747$224.71+$24.71
Will Servette Geneva win on 2026-08-01? · No0.8401.000$190.48+$30.48
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.2300.255$110.87+$10.87
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9090.932$102.59+$2.59
Will Austria Lustenau win on 2026-08-02? · No0.7601.000$92.11+$22.11
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-01? · No0.6901.000$86.96+$26.96
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0390.033$83.33$16.66
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1100.125$79.55+$9.55
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.8000.945$66.15+$10.15
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0080.015$61.48+$27.56
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? · No0.4200.555$60.79+$14.79
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6000.655$54.58+$4.58
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.065$54.17$45.83
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.2500.066$52.80$147.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:59Will Austria Lustenau win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.7599999987$70.00
08-02 12:13Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.4104940931$166.00
08-02 03:36Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.6899999987$60.00
08-01 16:56Will Servette Geneva win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.8399999996$160.00
08-01 16:10Will SK Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.4996876952$80.00
08-01 09:26Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?BUY0.4199999967$46.00
08-01 02:14Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.3099999961$35.00
07-29 13:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7650066625$200.00
07-29 13:47Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?BUY0.0449348154$17.00
07-29 13:45Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?BUY0.2299999986$100.00
07-25 01:26Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.09$122.01
07-24 17:01Will FF Jaro vs. Seinajoen JK end in a draw?BUY0.2897102871$50.00
07-24 15:50Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.119999999$100.00
07-20 08:29Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1099999987$70.00
07-20 07:54Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0789999983$40.00