0x141DC90b5E77674587890DFB8E7DaEAC02ABA115-1775683426687
0x7e9d01cb8074b099ea6ab18d4889339fbe8e8f38
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $453.3k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $240.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.54at 0.638Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$91.90at 0.080Spread: Japan (-3.5)
- +$88.00at 0.120Spread: Portugal (-4.5)
- +$83.98at 0.160Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$74.00at 0.260Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 06:03 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 07-19 22:00 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 07-19 18:58 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 07-19 18:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5875 | $58.75 |
| 07-16 03:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.42 | $50.12 |
| 07-15 02:24 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5375 | $67.19 |
| 07-15 02:21 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.418999996 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 00:56 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2475000025 | $25.00 |
| 07-11 22:24 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3924999941 | $40.00 |
| 07-07 06:28 | Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.26 |
| 07-04 01:33 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.027 | $270.00 |
| 07-03 23:50 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $150.00 |
| 07-03 00:39 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.2925 | $29.25 |
| 07-03 00:17 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.2025 | $20.25 |
| 07-02 22:58 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |