0x141DC90b5E77674587890DFB8E7DaEAC02ABA115-1775683426687
0x7e9d01cb8074b099ea6ab18d4889339fbe8e8f38
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $455.4k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $167.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.54at 0.638Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$91.68at 0.082Spread: Japan (-3.5)
- +$88.00at 0.120Spread: Portugal (-4.5)
- +$83.94at 0.160Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$73.42at 0.266Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 07:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999997 | $30.54 |
| 08-30 10:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $477.00 |
| 08-30 10:44 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.18 | $20.52 |
| 07-20 06:03 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 07-19 22:00 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 07-19 18:58 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 07-19 18:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5875 | $58.75 |
| 07-16 03:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.42 | $50.12 |
| 07-15 02:24 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5375 | $67.19 |
| 07-15 02:21 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.418999996 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 00:56 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2475000025 | $25.00 |
| 07-11 22:24 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3924999941 | $40.00 |
| 07-07 06:28 | Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.26 |
| 07-04 01:33 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.027 | $270.00 |
| 07-03 23:50 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $150.00 |