Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-10
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.88. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.77. Range 0.77 to 0.91. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	730	730
0.89	2,255	2,985
0.90	3,892	6,877
0.91	1,923	8,800
0.92	125	8,925
0.94	167	9,092
0.95	328	9,420
0.96	638	10,058
0.97	683	10,741
0.98	1,675	12,416
0.99	2,375	14,791

Spread0.01Mid0.88

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	470	470
0.86	2,567	3,037
0.85	1,367	4,404
0.84	1,285	5,689
0.83	1,072	6,761
0.82	153	6,914
0.81	574	7,488
0.79	350	7,838
0.78	19	7,858
0.68	10	7,868
0.66	50	7,918
0.65	5	7,923

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	470	470
0.14	2,567	3,037
0.15	1,367	4,404
0.16	1,285	5,689
0.17	1,072	6,761
0.18	153	6,914
0.19	574	7,488
0.21	350	7,838
0.22	19	7,858
0.32	10	7,868
0.34	50	7,918
0.35	5	7,923

Spread0.01Mid0.13

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	730	730
0.11	2,255	2,985
0.10	3,892	6,877
0.09	1,923	8,800
0.08	125	8,925
0.06	167	9,092
0.05	328	9,420
0.04	638	10,058
0.03	683	10,741
0.02	1,675	12,416
0.01	2,375	14,791

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
perfectnostalgia	Yes	6,751.15
podairpod	Yes	4,911.54
firegold	Yes	4,287.99
polmarke195	Yes	1,534.99
exothetajunkie	Yes	1,239.41
xiaoaojiang	Yes	1,035
liq2	Yes	702.64
TheRealWarMonger	Yes	622.09
SCAAFencingClub	Yes	441.18
0x9687…1b7c	Yes	385
Bliiiiiiiiiinnn	Yes	300
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	272.23
CDAP1	Yes	246.43
0x966F73DE1F6c003AC44E67bA5d0cA73183035cdc-1783074862056	Yes	217.45
qhult8yfqgpd	Yes	202.25
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	200
rwcoffee	Yes	177.09
PolyArbi	Yes	110
0x931CB0A65D95fe21C703fCb660c1102C587bE5Dc-1776622688766	Yes	100
tinman2	Yes	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:32:20	SELL	Yes	0.87	50	$43.50
22:32:18	SELL	Yes	0.87	50	$43.50
22:32:17	SELL	Yes	0.87	80	$69.69
22:32:15	BUY	No	0.12	634	$76.08
11:04:15	BUY	No	0.12	50	$6.00
11:04:15	BUY	No	0.12	100	$12.00
10:24:32	BUY	Yes	0.89	57	$50.84
08:36:26	SELL	Yes	0.88	223	$196.34
12:01:45	BUY	Yes	0.8899999996	22	$20.00
11:30:44	BUY	No	0.11	24	$2.68
06:50:36	SELL	No	0.1	75	$7.50
06:40:36	BUY	No	0.11	18	$1.93
04:34:47	SELL	Yes	0.89	1	$1.12
04:24:08	SELL	Yes	0.89	0	$0.41
01:03:29	SELL	No	0.1	4	$0.41
22:22:38	BUY	Yes	0.9	1	$1.00
16:03:59	SELL	No	0.11	52	$5.72
15:50:41	SELL	No	0.11	63	$6.88
13:57:42	SELL	No	0.11	188	$20.63
13:22:48	SELL	Yes	0.87	50	$43.50
13:06:15	SELL	Yes	0.88	80	$70.39
13:06:12	BUY	No	0.11	50	$5.50
13:06:12	BUY	No	0.11	80	$8.80
12:51:33	BUY	No	0.1	134	$13.40
12:10:23	BUY	No	0.1	122	$12.20