qhult8yfqgpd
0x78c298df672c36b0ec135bcc13353092d91722cf
- Realised P&L
- $-180.14
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.90at 0.042Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
- +$43.88at 0.411Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
- +$17.09at 0.804Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$14.17at 0.977Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
- +$11.33at 0.913Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:58 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $130.97 |
| 08-03 03:58 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $80.79 |
| 08-03 03:57 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9881792761 | $37.46 |
| 08-03 03:57 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9339999985 | $12.56 |
| 08-02 16:47 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.8199999188 | $8.48 |
| 08-02 15:52 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.3399999182 | $1.58 |
| 08-02 12:13 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.3399999082 | $1.63 |
| 08-02 12:13 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.3399998769 | $1.16 |
| 08-02 12:13 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.3399998048 | $1.01 |
| 08-02 09:47 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9719999996 | $21.47 |
| 08-02 03:51 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.26 |
| 08-01 21:17 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.6599999671 | $4.42 |
| 08-01 21:17 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.659999965 | $3.77 |
| 08-01 21:17 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.6599994147 | $1.06 |
| 08-01 21:17 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.6599999764 | $4.47 |