TheRealWarMonger
0xe472ce6be1fb4673d6155de37e414ead8bace7eb
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $6.59M
- Markets traded
- 594
- Open portfolio
- $71.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded594
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.1kat 0.001Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$11.6kat 0.708US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$11.5kat 0.833Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
- +$9.4kat 0.001Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$7.5kat 0.001Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:50 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.9k |
| 07-31 18:53 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $400.00 |
| 07-31 18:52 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.9849999862 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 22:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $450.00 |
| 07-29 18:18 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8099999737 | $17.89 |
| 07-29 18:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.329999997 | $70.00 |
| 07-29 18:00 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.9978643731 | $700.00 |
| 07-29 05:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.0k |
| 07-28 20:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $80.00 |
| 07-28 17:49 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.5k |
| 07-28 17:49 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9889780769 | $514.27 |
| 07-28 06:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.2k |
| 07-28 06:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.0k |
| 07-27 14:08 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.216 | $172.80 |
| 07-26 19:21 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $345.35 |