PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-17
Resolves by
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.82. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.79. Range 0.58 to 0.86. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84153153
0.85469622
0.86222844
0.872941,138
0.883731,511
0.894701,981
0.901,8173,798
0.9153,803
0.92203,823
0.931503,973
0.945674,539
0.951,2575,796

Spread0.03Mid0.82

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.819292
0.80359451
0.7920471
0.7881553
0.77263815
0.763091,124
0.71201,144
0.70211,165
0.5951,170
0.49801,250
0.43201,270
0.42981,368

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.199292
0.20359451
0.2120471
0.2281553
0.23263815
0.243091,124
0.29201,144
0.30211,165
0.4151,170
0.51801,250
0.57201,270
0.58981,368

Spread0.03Mid0.17

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16153153
0.15469622
0.14222844
0.132941,138
0.123731,511
0.114701,981
0.101,8173,798
0.0953,803
0.08203,823
0.071503,973
0.065674,539
0.051,2575,796

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
podairpodYes1,644.37
firegoldYes1,520.61
exothetajunkieYes623.41
StarMasterYes400
cleanapproachYes380
ChrissyTCYes330.42
0xKLBYes327.87
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes255.97
0xC7be03AdEE1a68974f5249CE9202d274CEdAEe1D-1774644441203Yes171.05
neutralwave23Yes155.17
GaditimaYes130
BornAgain26Yes100.66
mustbethewaterYes100
yamaurisYes99.99
0x0d55…1c1bYes70.13
0xd0d9…30f2Yes70
alpha.chenYes65.57
gordostimberosYes60
youtube-traderYes58.41
SkalizYes53.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:57:33BUYNo0.17999999733$5.93
18:56:57BUYYes0.839$7.47
18:54:15SELLYes0.820$16.00
18:54:04SELLYes0.799$7.11
18:54:04SELLYes0.8123$18.63
18:54:03BUYNo0.1955$10.45
18:54:03BUYNo0.1718431296582$100.00
18:54:03BUYYes0.885$4.40
18:54:03BUYNo0.1943$8.17
12:07:54BUYYes0.8722$19.04
12:07:54BUYYes0.869999999122$19.05
11:09:48BUYYes0.869999997370$61.01
16:18:16SELLYes0.8420$16.80
16:18:15BUYNo0.1560$9.02
08:37:40SELLYes0.865$4.30
00:01:30BUYNo0.1650$8.00
00:00:54BUYYes0.849999995812$10.06
00:00:45SELLNo0.1520$3.00
00:00:10BUYYes0.84999996853$2.70
00:00:09BUYYes0.838175400$335.27
00:00:09BUYYes0.849999998947$40.32
00:00:09BUYYes0.8559$49.94
00:00:09BUYYes0.8554$45.90
23:18:28BUYNo0.1920$3.80
23:12:06BUYNo0.189999996226$5.00