0x0d5560081cb4e35e011dbf2ef128fa3d88431c1b
0x0d5560081cb4e35e011dbf2ef128fa3d88431c1b
- Realised P&L
- $31.00
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $295.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.14at 0.555Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$15.26at 0.869Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$8.22at 0.880Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
- +$5.02at 0.919Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$-17.61at 0.530Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:09 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8699999973 | $61.01 |
| 10-27 06:48 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8372591941 | $56.30 |
| 10-19 10:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.789999997 | $18.64 |
| 10-19 10:05 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.609999991 | $18.99 |
| 10-19 10:04 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.219999999 | $12.81 |
| 10-19 10:04 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $52.28 |
| 09-21 15:37 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.9099999955 | $56.14 |
| 09-21 15:36 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.3899999975 | $58.51 |
| 09-11 14:52 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8699999988 | $50.17 |
| 09-10 14:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5179999873 | $17.19 |
| 08-24 11:53 | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 11:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 11:53 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 11:52 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 08-24 11:52 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |