PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.956. up 0.015 over the period, from 0.941. Range 0.941 to 0.965. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9628484
0.96330114
0.964100214
0.970708922
0.97360982
0.9794681,450
0.987621,512
0.9884051,917
0.9893722,289
0.992512,340
0.9931722,511
0.9941,8044,315

Spread0.012Mid0.956

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9503030
0.9492050
0.94850100
0.94317117
0.93720137
0.9361,1001,237
0.93581,245
0.9311001,345
0.9302501,595
0.9202,0003,595
0.9111,0684,663
0.9102404,903

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0503030
0.0512050
0.05250100
0.05717117
0.06320137
0.0641,1001,237
0.06581,245
0.0691001,345
0.0702501,595
0.0802,0003,595
0.0891,0684,663
0.0902404,903

Spread0.012Mid0.044

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0388484
0.03730114
0.036100214
0.030708922
0.02760982
0.0214681,450
0.013621,512
0.0124051,917
0.0113722,289
0.008512,340
0.0071722,511
0.0061,8044,315

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
nibelung.retiredYes1,130
OmegaV2Yes800
SeutervoinenYes631.5
VanillaOvercoatInspiringYes509
Ryxon21Yes300
SitsToPeeYes296.04
i2dtYes99.99
buyrightbakeYes50
wqeewqeadawfawfwaYes25
0x74FCF01083ba469909e5af254Bf2d75664bc492C-1769743012360Yes22.85
Elias.ThornwellYes5
miazagscYes2.25
RocamadoYes1.1
liyuan1977Yes1.04
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938No1,565.97
0xa5ef…2966No893.15
ABC12345654321No393.56
xtxpleasecallmeNo375.89
LornaPredictsNo119.16
GarmonboziaNo115.85

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:51:10BUYYes0.96399998841$1.00
21:32:33BUYYes0.975509$496.27
12:00:29BUYNo0.04435$1.55
09:47:17SELLNo0.03759$2.17
05:48:24SELLYes0.9470$0.25
05:36:44SELLNo0.03770$2.60
05:36:32BUYYes0.96420$19.28
05:36:24SELLNo0.03720$0.74
05:36:23SELLNo0.03714$0.52
05:32:26SELLNo0.04750$2.35
05:32:23SELLNo0.037100$3.70
05:32:15SELLNo0.03717$0.62
05:31:59BUYYes0.961386673420$18.81
05:31:59SELLNo0.04420$0.88
05:31:57SELLNo0.044285714370$3.10
05:31:56SELLNo0.045100$4.50
05:31:53SELLNo0.04533266630$1.36
05:31:53SELLNo0.04510$0.45
05:31:51BUYNo0.058999998417$1.00
05:31:51SELLNo0.04620$0.92
05:31:48SELLNo0.0508331251120$6.10
05:31:45BUYYes0.94720$18.94
05:31:42SELLNo0.053100$5.30
05:31:41BUYYes0.94699999719$8.91
05:31:39BUYYes0.94650$47.30