PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nibelung.retired

0xcbab47f889ffffbb603f600a5feeb0eca0cc9a8a

Realised P&L
$-34.3k
Volume
$3.39M
Markets traded
488
Open portfolio
$8.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded488
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 18:37Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.005$0.73
07-19 16:49Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?BUY0.14$92.95
06-27 04:14Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.99$77.28
06-26 20:17WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?BUY0.997$518.44
06-25 15:52Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?BUY0.11935173$520.66
06-25 02:12Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?SELL0.1207184104$548.92
06-24 01:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?SELL0.51$20.20
06-24 01:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?SELL0.52$623.83
06-23 20:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?SELL0.5684695612$1.0k
06-23 16:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?SELL0.52$114.40
06-22 16:34WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?BUY0.97$43.65
06-17 18:01Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.41$79.80
06-17 14:09Will Tony Thurmond finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?SELL0.999$31.26
06-17 14:09Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?SELL0.99$5.58
06-17 14:09Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?SELL0.999$34.68