PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.996. up 0.036 over the period, from 0.960. Range 0.960 to 0.996. 148 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9984040
0.99993133

Spread0.005Mid0.996

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99355
0.992510
0.9916575
0.990100175
0.9895180
0.9875185
0.980200385
0.970100485
0.94262547
0.904222770
0.90320790
0.90220810

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00755
0.008510
0.0096575
0.010100175
0.0115180
0.0135185
0.020200385
0.030100485
0.05862547
0.096222770
0.09720790
0.09820810

Spread0.005Mid0.005

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0024040
0.00193133

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
i2dtYes861.65
0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430Yes431.67
0xad4c…26f3Yes290.91
kukubajaYes233.05
SurovayageysvitelnostYes52.41
0xe0DC02240313376D474Af4cB0B1D3b9D282C94db-1782144967818Yes46.05
FallonYes46.02
xujimatrixYes10
HigeafisioYes10
0xa5ef…2966No930.21
Dr.PNLNo310
thecaricatureNo266.99
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.No222.41
xtxpleasecallmeNo113.13
easy-going2No45.65
crossFiterNo45.14
Rain-Prob-01No28.57
PPMTNo17.88
FrankyFourFingersNo1.16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:50:40BUYNo0.01213$0.16
09:16:40BUYYes0.9799108346233$228.37
08:27:53BUYYes0.97910$9.97
08:27:28BUYYes0.97926$24.99
08:26:08BUYYes0.97926$24.99
08:25:38BUYYes0.97926$24.99
08:25:08BUYYes0.97926$24.99
08:24:38BUYYes0.97826$24.97
08:24:10BUYYes0.97826$24.97
08:23:41BUYYes0.977756958126$24.94
08:23:11BUYYes0.97826$24.95
08:22:38BUYYes0.97826$24.95
08:22:11BUYYes0.97826$24.95
08:21:43BUYYes0.97726$24.92
07:25:49BUYYes0.977131437946$45.00
00:12:26BUYYes0.97610$9.76
07:42:36BUYYes0.97784941146$45.00
09:24:27BUYNo0.02313$0.29
01:52:18BUYNo0.0236$0.14
08:23:29BUYNo0.02346$1.05
07:05:54SELLNo0.0211714286175$3.71
07:05:10BUYNo0.028444175$4.98
10:53:22SELLYes0.97811$10.76
06:28:37SELLYes0.978166$162.08
20:09:19SELLYes0.979134$131.45