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Traders

Fallon

0x35a74ee18afdfbec19fd5db9305fc95c289744f4

Realised P&L
$63.86
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
256
Open portfolio
$958.48

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded256
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026? · No0.9690.962$158.92$1.08
Will the earnings call not air? · No0.9930.990$149.54$0.46
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31? · No0.9400.780$135.26$27.74
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · No0.9890.985$92.62$0.38
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No0.9890.990$90.05+$0.05
Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%? · No0.9600.995$48.16+$1.67
Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31? · No0.9800.890$45.40$4.60
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31? · No0.9750.974$38.94$0.06
Will Natisha Brooks be the TN-06 Republican nominee? · No0.9701.000$34.00+$1.00
Will the US lose jobs in July? · No0.9660.944$29.30$0.70
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July? · No0.8830.943$25.63+$1.63
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%? · No0.9770.967$21.77$0.23
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · No0.9200.920$18.46+$0.00
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee? · Yes0.9400.963$16.38+$0.38
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%? · No0.9000.966$10.73+$0.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 05:58ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31?BUY0.9099999992$11.00
08-03 05:18Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9889999902$90.00
08-03 05:15Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?BUY0.975$39.00
08-03 05:12Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31?BUY0.94$163.00
08-03 05:10Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999976$16.00
08-03 05:01Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31?BUY0.9801980196$50.00
08-03 04:52Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9685082853$160.00
08-01 19:07Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9944444444$179.00
08-01 18:40Will the earnings call not air?BUY0.9940059939$100.00
08-01 18:37Will the earnings call not air?BUY0.991056768$50.00
08-01 06:09Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by July 31?BUY0.9799570779$400.00
07-28 19:11Will Trump’s remarks not air?BUY0.9712063188$35.00
07-24 14:42Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?BUY0.9889999909$93.00
07-24 14:34Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July?BUY0.8829999964$24.00
07-24 14:28Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%?BUY0.96$46.49