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Traders

Fallon

0x35a74ee18afdfbec19fd5db9305fc95c289744f4

Realised P&L
$58.03
Volume
$22.9k
Markets traded
394
Open portfolio
$211.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded394
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%? · No0.8400.880$70.19+$3.19
Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat? · No0.9130.899$45.31−$0.69
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3990.846$34.65+$18.30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · Team Yandex0.8800.850$19.32−$0.68
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No0.9300.685$10.31−$3.69
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? · Yes0.8440.954$9.60+$1.11
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? · Yes0.1100.105$8.69−$0.41
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.155$6.31−$16.49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election? · Yes0.0190.092$4.78+$3.78
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.6000.305$2.54−$2.46
Will Ida Eriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? · Yes0.1400.022$0.23−$1.22
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.2540.004$0.04−$2.49
Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$8.65
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Yakult Brothers0.8370.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 06:07Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.89$3.44
10-04 15:52Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.9699999992$25.00
10-04 04:47Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.8799999965$20.00
10-03 16:15Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSELL0.92$21.14
10-03 16:07Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.87$20.00
10-03 15:27Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSELL0.92$12.10
10-03 14:49Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSELL0.985$369.33
10-03 14:17Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.7599999848$10.00
10-03 13:16Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.7859999986$30.00
10-03 13:15Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.7859999939$20.00
10-03 13:15Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSELL0.999$561.92
10-03 12:42Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.9936159177$200.00
10-03 12:06Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.9647052825$100.00
10-03 12:06Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.9689999999$350.00
10-03 12:06Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.9629999999$200.00
Trader Fallon · PolyBot Pro