Fallon
0x35a74ee18afdfbec19fd5db9305fc95c289744f4
- Realised P&L
- $63.86
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $958.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.18at 0.980Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by July 31?
- +$4.17at 0.920Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?
- +$3.70at 0.730Will "Croatia" be in the headlines this week?
- +$3.33at 0.600Will Jenni Gibbons be chosen for the Artemis III mission?
- +$2.65at 0.850Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:58 | ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $11.00 |
| 08-03 05:18 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999902 | $90.00 |
| 08-03 05:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.00 |
| 08-03 05:12 | Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $163.00 |
| 08-03 05:10 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $16.00 |
| 08-03 05:01 | Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31? | BUY | 0.9801980196 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 04:52 | Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9685082853 | $160.00 |
| 08-01 19:07 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9944444444 | $179.00 |
| 08-01 18:40 | Will the earnings call not air? | BUY | 0.9940059939 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 18:37 | Will the earnings call not air? | BUY | 0.991056768 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 06:09 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by July 31? | BUY | 0.9799570779 | $400.00 |
| 07-28 19:11 | Will Trump’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.9712063188 | $35.00 |
| 07-24 14:42 | Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.9889999909 | $93.00 |
| 07-24 14:34 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July? | BUY | 0.8829999964 | $24.00 |
| 07-24 14:28 | Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%? | BUY | 0.96 | $46.49 |