Surovayageysvitelnost
0xb9ebf175c3090f7a4565109c1bab210dd2c8a6c9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $210.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No | 0.975 | 0.979 | $53.42 | +$0.19 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No | 0.952 | 0.970 | $52.36 | +$0.97 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.955 | $52.31 | −$0.05 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.996 | $52.18 | +$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$371.00at 0.470Padres vs. Blue Jays
- +$228.00at 0.430Angels vs. Guardians
- +$210.00at 0.650Mariners vs. White Sox
- +$202.50at 0.190Nuggets vs. Clippers
- +$202.50at 0.55076ers vs. Nets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 07:08 | Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 07-17 13:09 | Nuggets vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.19 | $47.50 |
| 05-30 08:33 | Angels vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.43 | $172.00 |
| 05-29 10:30 | Braves vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.54 | $351.00 |
| 05-28 11:23 | White Sox vs. Mets | BUY | 0.3 | $75.00 |
| 05-27 09:00 | Cardinals vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.51 | $102.00 |
| 05-22 13:04 | Padres vs. Blue Jays | BUY | 0.47 | $269.00 |
| 05-19 07:45 | Mariners vs. White Sox | BUY | 0.65 | $390.00 |