PolyBot

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Traders

0xad4c029350a8736cacb5f15cebb381ca4b8726f3

0xad4c029350a8736cacb5f15cebb381ca4b8726f3

Realised P&L
$-206.25
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$110.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? · No0.7000.905$25.12+$5.69
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · No0.3500.685$18.51+$9.05
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · No0.6000.895$14.43+$4.76
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · No0.5600.805$13.88+$4.22
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3400.275$11.00−$2.60
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? · No0.8800.825$9.26−$0.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · No0.8300.775$9.22−$0.65
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? · Yes0.2800.265$5.30−$0.30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.2700.200$4.00−$1.40
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 9? · No0.6900.004$0.05−$8.27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves · Los Angeles Dodgers0.6000.000$0.00−$9.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2? · No0.1890.000$0.00−$23.62
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna · Benjamin Hassan0.5600.000$0.00−$9.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 3? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$16.52
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets · Milwaukee Brewers0.6100.000$0.00−$9.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 00:32Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?BUY0.88$9.88
10-05 00:08Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?BUY0.7$9.72
10-04 23:05Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?BUY0.56$9.65
10-04 22:56Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.35$9.46
10-04 22:42Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.83$9.88
10-04 22:40Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?BUY0.7$9.72
10-04 09:27Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October?BUY0.23$5.22
10-04 08:27Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October?BUY0.23$9.20
10-04 08:05Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.6$9.67
10-04 07:56Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October?BUY0.21$9.13
10-03 13:17Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 3?BUY0.023$9.20
10-03 12:47Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 3?BUY0.021225683$7.32
10-03 04:47Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.17$16.66
10-01 07:19Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 1?BUY0.47$9.59
09-30 13:40Will Ethereum dip to $2,650 on September 30?BUY0.67$9.71