0xad4c029350a8736cacb5f15cebb381ca4b8726f3
0xad4c029350a8736cacb5f15cebb381ca4b8726f3
- Realised P&L
- $-206.25
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $110.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.33at 0.189Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$36.11at 0.320Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 30?
- +$13.37at 0.554Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 7?
- +$12.84at 0.432Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
- +$12.45at 0.611Will Ethereum dip to $2,650 on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.88 |
| 10-05 00:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? | BUY | 0.7 | $9.72 |
| 10-04 23:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.56 | $9.65 |
| 10-04 22:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.35 | $9.46 |
| 10-04 22:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.83 | $9.88 |
| 10-04 22:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? | BUY | 0.7 | $9.72 |
| 10-04 09:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.22 |
| 10-04 08:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 10-04 08:05 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.67 |
| 10-04 07:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October? | BUY | 0.21 | $9.13 |
| 10-03 13:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.023 | $9.20 |
| 10-03 12:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.021225683 | $7.32 |
| 10-03 04:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $16.66 |
| 10-01 07:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.59 |
| 09-30 13:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,650 on September 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $9.71 |