PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 45%-50%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.171. up 0.074 over the period, from 0.097. Range 0.052 to 0.405. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.172184184
0.17663247
0.18020267
0.18290357
0.18517374
0.18620394
0.18880474
0.35620494
0.357125619
0.35820639
0.359100739
0.395100839

Spread0.003Mid0.170

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.169224224
0.16840264
0.16599363
0.159122485
0.155107592
0.150193785
0.14150835
0.1401871,022
0.100211,043
0.010181,061
0.009201,081
0.007121,093

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.831224224
0.83240264
0.83599363
0.841122485
0.845107592
0.850193785
0.85950835
0.8601871,022
0.900211,043
0.990181,061
0.991201,081
0.993121,093

Spread0.003Mid0.829

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.828184184
0.82463247
0.82020267
0.81890357
0.81517374
0.81420394
0.81280474
0.64420494
0.643125619
0.64220639
0.641100739
0.605100839

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes516.17
shiifooYes217
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlYes100.02
planktonXDYes70
LornaPredictsYes54.88
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedYes20
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes17.1
KastellvalenYes17
BobbyBakedBeansYes12
BOOST250Yes3
0xa5ef…2966No896
fkpaNo57
HaradwaithNo40.13
0xa41099a9f56Eb05CA294f76e15242BEC85940e3e-1791822983135No17
0x8875…2badNo14.08
MajasNo3.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:29:36BUYYes0.12217$2.09
01:49:37BUYYes0.1512$1.80
01:45:16BUYNo0.87812$10.66
01:45:16BUYNo0.877999998717$14.93
18:32:13BUYNo0.8773$2.63
02:24:33BUYYes0.10250$5.10
02:24:32BUYYes0.12520$2.50
08:05:35BUYYes0.09811$1.06
16:15:35BUYYes0.0979999999230$22.50
23:06:44SELLYes0.09830$2.94
23:06:42BUYYes0.0979999999226$22.12
19:19:09BUYYes0.1099482887215$23.64
19:18:15BUYYes0.09430$2.86
07:35:55BUYYes0.09895$9.31
19:58:27BUYYes0.1001673605120$12.03
19:56:49BUYYes0.08276$6.25
18:56:32BUYYes0.08825$2.19
09:10:05SELLYes0.0820$1.60
17:30:08BUYYes0.086956555105$9.09
20:24:59BUYYes0.0555$0.28
18:37:05SELLYes0.09217$1.53
18:37:03SELLYes0.09217$1.53
18:36:59BUYNo0.907999996420$18.11
18:36:59SELLYes0.10557$5.95
18:15:24SELLYes0.10520$2.10