Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://defillama.com/protocol/aave/
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.06 to 0.12. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	56	56
0.21	55	111
0.22	5	116
0.28	10	126
0.29	10	136
0.38	5	141
0.50	5	146
0.56	5	151
0.57	9	159
0.58	50	209
0.59	483	692
0.60	5	697

Spread0.09Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	80	80
0.05	50	130
0.04	185	315
0.03	540	855
0.02	20,046	20,901
0.01	2,706	23,607

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	80	80
0.95	50	130
0.96	185	315
0.97	540	855
0.98	20,046	20,901
0.99	2,706	23,607

Spread0.09Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	56	56
0.79	55	111
0.78	5	116
0.72	10	126
0.71	10	136
0.62	5	141
0.50	5	146
0.44	5	151
0.43	9	159
0.42	50	209
0.41	483	692
0.40	5	697

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
GamerBolo	Yes	1,259.37
PhongLeXBT	Yes	189.99
XieGuangKun	Yes	100
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	62.67
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	55
0x950C00f982D24eEfF2104584d5cfA25B05e7095e-1777459038962	Yes	20.83
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq	Yes	12.49
cocoa-110	Yes	10
0x2288…69e3	Yes	7.77
0xa39Fe164c54030B5f3Dc3D93Ac550a8Bed83fBDB-1768116899785	Yes	5
flexer78	Yes	3.05
52adsa	Yes	2.22
0xd4aa…d40c	Yes	1.26
btcabal	No	479.99
apiwat	No	405
AlAhmeda	No	279.44
g0nzo	No	251.37
redpanda135	No	230.05
razzil.db	No	51.82
PadreMaronno	No	8.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:20:36	BUY	Yes	0.0847365651	190	$16.10
19:05:44	BUY	Yes	0.06	6	$0.36
21:27:31	BUY	No	0.9372839506	405	$379.60
19:02:54	SELL	No	0.91	5	$4.55
14:35:25	SELL	No	0.9	220	$198.05
04:15:19	BUY	No	0.86	10	$8.60
13:46:39	BUY	No	0.91	15	$13.65
16:28:52	BUY	No	0.89	40	$35.60
11:57:42	BUY	Yes	0.1	200	$20.00
09:09:00	BUY	No	0.91	100	$91.00
09:08:34	BUY	No	0.9	50	$45.00
22:37:31	BUY	Yes	0.1366666667	150	$20.50
03:38:24	BUY	No	0.83	379	$314.94
09:17:18	BUY	No	0.82962	300	$248.89
13:50:57	BUY	Yes	0.2988667199	113	$33.70
17:11:06	BUY	No	0.7432887993	114	$85.00
03:59:24	SELL	No	0.66	6	$3.77
01:22:51	SELL	No	0.68	6	$4.30
15:08:15	SELL	No	0.51	12	$6.14
23:04:55	SELL	No	0.44	3	$1.10
17:48:25	BUY	Yes	0.43	5	$2.15
17:48:10	BUY	Yes	0.42	6	$2.49
14:50:44	BUY	No	0.5052413821	251	$127.00
17:35:23	SELL	Yes	0.51	5	$2.32
13:22:26	BUY	No	0.4899998128	3	$1.23