GamerBolo
0x493029126348826610d1766a410d290fad6182ab
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $228.5k
- Markets traded
- 330
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded330
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$362.92at 0.377MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$278.64at 0.230MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 30-January 5?
- +$172.45at 0.239Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$167.57at 0.370MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$155.43at 0.712Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 08-03 00:15 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.267 | $6.32 |
| 08-02 05:15 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.098 | $0.91 |
| 08-02 01:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 07-31 22:21 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $12.87 |
| 07-31 20:23 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 07-31 19:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-31 19:21 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.448 | $22.40 |
| 07-31 17:35 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 07-31 16:09 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 07-31 15:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 07-31 15:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.56 |
| 07-31 08:41 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.20 |
| 07-31 08:31 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 07-31 08:22 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase July 28-August 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $113.19 |