PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

GamerBolo

0x493029126348826610d1766a410d290fad6182ab

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$228.5k
Markets traded
330
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded330
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? · Yes0.4840.340$270.84$114.83
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0780.035$158.47$190.11
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1090.065$119.17$80.83
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2010.205$103.87+$1.87
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase July 28-August 3? · No0.9400.840$101.15$12.04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.3500.210$60.50$40.38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4110.278$55.50$26.74
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes0.2160.155$53.39$21.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1660.043$38.61$110.39
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1050.085$31.63$7.58
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.2530.100$30.00$46.00
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.1200.365$24.45+$16.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · Yes0.2090.165$23.96$6.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1860.095$22.39$21.51
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.205$20.50$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:18US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.53$53.00
08-03 00:15Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.267$6.32
08-02 05:15Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.098$0.91
08-02 01:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.07$14.00
07-31 22:21Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.39$12.87
07-31 20:23U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.99$49.50
07-31 19:28Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?SELL0.001$0.10
07-31 19:21U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.448$22.40
07-31 17:35Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.09$1.08
07-31 16:09Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.22$2.20
07-31 15:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?SELL0.002$0.20
07-31 15:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.004$2.56
07-31 08:41Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.004$5.20
07-31 08:31Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.12$12.00
07-31 08:22MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase July 28-August 3?BUY0.94$113.19