PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

XieGuangKun

0x25dcf4635fe93082e0849fbbf81c95680cf5e33b

Realised P&L
$105.6k
Volume
$2.85M
Markets traded
1,284
Open portfolio
$99.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,284
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3370.810$4.5k+$2.6k
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · No0.5870.938$3.5k+$1.3k
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? · No0.1620.966$3.0k+$2.5k
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No0.6860.695$3.0k+$38.72
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1360.755$2.9k+$2.4k
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.4950.932$2.7k+$1.3k
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6430.855$2.5k+$621.24
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.3750.955$2.3k+$1.4k
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5280.915$2.2k+$932.92
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.4660.835$2.2k+$954.43
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8490.965$2.0k+$238.92
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.4500.645$1.8k+$542.79
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4270.935$1.8k+$973.00
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2750.545$1.7k+$847.13
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.5080.685$1.7k+$442.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 03:45Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.002$0.56
09-13 03:44Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.002$3.12
09-13 03:44Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.002$4.65
09-12 10:03Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?BUY0.9$453.17
09-11 00:59Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.985$1.6k
09-10 12:06Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9880433446$167.09
09-10 12:04Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?SELL0.9769922124$165.60
09-10 12:04Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.9850250834$392.70
09-10 12:03Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9905935402$180.03
09-10 12:02Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9908706166$369.59
09-06 13:26Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?BUY0.5717110417$100.71
09-01 07:32OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?SELL0.17$2.95
08-21 08:52Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9412909886$2.3k
08-21 08:51Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.958$2.5k
08-15 01:18Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.976$141.28