XieGuangKun
0x25dcf4635fe93082e0849fbbf81c95680cf5e33b
- Realised P&L
- $82.6k
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 1,285
- Open portfolio
- $68.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,285
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.4kat 0.475Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
- +$12.5kat 0.267MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.1kat 0.374Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
- +$7.6kat 0.528Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
- +$5.5kat 0.631Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 11:07 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9770584714 | $1.5k |
| 10-24 11:26 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $693.64 |
| 10-24 11:25 | Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9714658562 | $525.80 |
| 10-24 11:24 | Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $97.10 |
| 10-24 11:24 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.984 | $254.90 |
| 10-24 11:24 | Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | SELL | 0.9690380007 | $169.83 |
| 10-21 22:27 | Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $81.40 |
| 10-21 03:24 | Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.972 | $502.23 |
| 10-21 03:08 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? | SELL | 0.9793060525 | $543.01 |
| 10-15 08:48 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9710832637 | $348.72 |
| 10-15 08:48 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9804512635 | $271.58 |
| 10-15 08:47 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.99 | $367.62 |
| 10-09 22:35 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9591826504 | $973.36 |
| 10-09 22:35 | Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9657064584 | $1.1k |
| 10-09 22:35 | Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.971149971 | $1.1k |