PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

XieGuangKun

0x25dcf4635fe93082e0849fbbf81c95680cf5e33b

Realised P&L
$82.6k
Volume
$2.88M
Markets traded
1,285
Open portfolio
$68.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,285
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · No0.5870.967$3.5k+$1.4k
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No0.6860.745$3.2k+$252.84
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? · No0.1620.960$3.0k+$2.5k
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.4950.963$2.8k+$1.4k
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2750.815$2.6k+$1.7k
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5280.960$2.3k+$1.0k
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.3750.960$2.3k+$1.4k
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.4660.820$2.1k+$915.68
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.4500.665$1.8k+$598.41
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3170.933$1.7k+$1.1k
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? · No0.8090.963$1.7k+$276.35
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.5890.951$1.6k+$626.02
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026? · No0.5270.920$1.5k+$653.82
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2200.948$1.4k+$1.1k
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5670.930$1.4k+$545.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 11:07Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.9770584714$1.5k
10-24 11:26Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?SELL0.968$693.64
10-24 11:25Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.9714658562$525.80
10-24 11:24Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?SELL0.971$97.10
10-24 11:24Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.984$254.90
10-24 11:24Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?SELL0.9690380007$169.83
10-21 22:27Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.969$81.40
10-21 03:24Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.972$502.23
10-21 03:08Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?SELL0.9793060525$543.01
10-15 08:48StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9710832637$348.72
10-15 08:48StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9804512635$271.58
10-15 08:47StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.99$367.62
10-09 22:35Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9591826504$973.36
10-09 22:35Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.9657064584$1.1k
10-09 22:35Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.971149971$1.1k