redpanda135
0x0e3412b36668dcb987582e6c96f7e15fea71f1a7
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $138.5k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $45.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$75.00at 0.963Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
- +$67.06at 0.975GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:19 | Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $220.80 |
| 09-20 10:38 | Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9645430995 | $1.1k |
| 09-19 21:16 | Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.970990991 | $1.1k |
| 09-19 11:46 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 09-17 19:58 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9961491936 | $746.74 |
| 09-17 19:36 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | SELL | 0.985 | $1.2k |
| 09-17 19:25 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9797589773 | $2.2k |
| 09-17 08:09 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $985.39 |
| 09-17 07:48 | Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.33 | $76.23 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2640844112 | $38.79 |
| 09-16 19:58 | Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9897462984 | $248.00 |
| 09-15 12:45 | Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $461.56 |
| 09-15 04:58 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $82.74 |
| 09-13 16:36 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.948475398 | $458.20 |
| 09-12 14:33 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.825799916 | $412.89 |