btcabal
0x2f4ef485d193aaaa6486267e9721f5efcdd53d8d
- Realised P&L
- $720.75
- Volume
- $46.4k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.00at 0.250Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$89.17at 0.905Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
- +$47.68at 0.760GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$34.19at 0.968Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
- +$33.23at 0.965Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 16:21 | Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch | BUY | 0.93 | $2.33 |
| 08-03 16:21 | Squid FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.96 | $28.79 |
| 08-03 16:14 | Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will Squid launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9902910043 | $657.87 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9883119241 | $938.49 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will Squid launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.85 |
| 08-03 08:03 | Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9775749231 | $247.78 |
| 08-03 08:03 | Will Squid launch a token by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 08-02 13:09 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $297.28 |
| 08-02 07:41 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $31.68 |
| 08-02 07:35 | Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by August 31? | BUY | 0.9637435897 | $187.93 |
| 08-02 07:34 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by August 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 08-02 07:33 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by August 31? | BUY | 0.9879302358 | $141.61 |
| 08-02 07:32 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by August 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $139.36 |
| 08-02 07:31 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $70B by August 31? | BUY | 0.9890662647 | $149.26 |