btcabal
0x2f4ef485d193aaaa6486267e9721f5efcdd53d8d
- Realised P&L
- $530.76
- Volume
- $84.1k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$267.98at 0.256Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$154.48at 0.461Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?
- +$89.17at 0.905Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
- +$47.69at 0.971Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$45.15at 0.773GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 10:11 | Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $382.59 |
| 09-19 21:12 | Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9633806552 | $1.2k |
| 09-19 15:52 | Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9832374372 | $1.6k |
| 09-19 11:58 | Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9270738102 | $403.43 |
| 09-16 19:56 | Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9818867176 | $225.10 |
| 09-16 13:21 | Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch | BUY | 0.991 | $1.3k |
| 09-16 13:17 | Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch | BUY | 0.991 | $614.42 |
| 09-16 13:16 | Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9897281998 | $924.91 |
| 09-16 13:12 | Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch | BUY | 0.989875 | $316.76 |
| 09-16 13:07 | Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch | BUY | 0.989779896 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 04:17 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $167.12 |
| 09-14 04:16 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $106.15 |
| 09-08 16:28 | Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $35.60 |
| 09-07 05:08 | Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 09-07 05:08 | Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |