PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

btcabal

0x2f4ef485d193aaaa6486267e9721f5efcdd53d8d

Realised P&L
$530.76
Volume
$84.1k
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$7.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9710.950$2.3k$49.44
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9410.986$1.6k+$73.68
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9570.993$637.71+$22.82
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9270.950$413.41+$9.98
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? · No0.9010.945$368.55+$16.95
Anthropic acquired before 2027? · No0.9700.970$367.44$0.19
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026? · No0.9550.989$318.36+$11.06
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.9100.974$292.04+$19.05
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9660.979$276.92+$3.65
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9700.994$237.93+$5.63
Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9820.991$227.19+$2.09
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by September 30? · No0.9360.997$218.50+$13.29
Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.970$147.15+$15.10
Over $2.5B crypto hack value in 2026? · No0.8790.625$135.90$55.27
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.9500.993$99.30+$4.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 10:11Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.961$382.59
09-19 21:12Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9633806552$1.2k
09-19 15:52Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9832374372$1.6k
09-19 11:58Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9270738102$403.43
09-16 19:56Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9818867176$225.10
09-16 13:21Tread FDV above $500M one day after launchBUY0.991$1.3k
09-16 13:17Tread FDV above $500M one day after launchBUY0.991$614.42
09-16 13:16Tread FDV above $400M one day after launchBUY0.9897281998$924.91
09-16 13:12Tread FDV above $500M one day after launchBUY0.989875$316.76
09-16 13:07Tread FDV above $500M one day after launchBUY0.989779896$1.1k
09-14 04:17Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.966$167.12
09-14 04:16Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.965$106.15
09-08 16:28Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?BUY0.89$35.60
09-07 05:08Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026?BUY0.96$38.40
09-07 05:08Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026?BUY0.96$38.40