PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

razzil.db

0xf561f9b721edf10968b0571221d2ba078860a152

Realised P&L
$-17.44
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$894.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration94.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8230.960$216.83+$30.83
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.945$201.13+$22.35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.2621.000$87.54+$64.57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6840.835$84.63+$15.27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8210.935$81.99+$9.98
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? · No0.7180.915$47.41+$10.19
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5120.500$45.28$1.08
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? · Yes0.9601.000$24.44+$0.98
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? · Yes0.9601.000$20.69+$0.83
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9270.954$14.74+$0.41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7280.841$12.61+$1.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · No0.6201.000$10.41+$3.96
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.7880.839$8.60+$0.52
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? · No0.7871.000$8.18+$1.74
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No0.9301.000$7.81+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-26 20:16Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?BUY0.25$1.35
04-26 20:02Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?BUY0.7873814181$6.44
04-26 20:02Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?BUY0.25$2.25
04-21 01:26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$3.03
04-21 01:15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$3.29
04-21 01:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$3.58
04-21 00:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$3.89
04-20 21:38Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?BUY0.9$23.57
04-20 20:27Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?BUY0.93$23.97
04-20 20:17Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?BUY0.93$23.97
04-20 19:56Will X-Energy’s market cap be less than $6B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.5$14.40
04-20 19:15US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.83$22.88
04-20 19:09Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.39$2.16
04-20 19:07Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.514$26.49
04-20 19:00Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.79$26.74