PolyBot

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.24. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.31. Range 0.17 to 0.63. 154 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.395050
0.59150200
0.9115215
0.9225240
0.957247
0.96250497
0.97417913
0.986251,538
0.991,3902,929

Spread0.29Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.103535
0.095085
0.0820105
0.038113
0.02159272
0.0124296

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.903535
0.915085
0.9220105
0.978113
0.98159272
0.9924296

Spread0.29Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.615050
0.41150200
0.0915215
0.0825240
0.057247
0.04250497
0.03417913
0.026251,538
0.011,3902,929

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x6fa7…907eYes163.22
mavsgseguritasYes74.71
just-bettorYes50
grinder1011Yes41
AJSVYes26.68
tradetosurvive1Yes20
MrYanDaoYes14
financegaaaydogYes9.1
oneofthepplYes7
nana4Yes6.99
timeistmoneyNo120
johnashboughNo103.24
youtube-traderNo60
ZhouCDNo60
tiongbuNo21
cloverpmq2No20
micaudnNo11.27
hithitfarNo7
chaosj89No7
xixihaha009No2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:55:24SELLYes0.0719$1.33
16:20:34SELLYes0.221$0.22
11:29:21BUYNo0.87$5.60
04:58:25BUYNo0.720$0.32
04:58:25BUYNo0.71999997118$5.97
03:20:33BUYNo0.709999976911$8.00
09:24:19BUYNo0.6620$13.20
09:09:34BUYYes0.3820$7.60
03:56:34BUYYes0.21$0.21
03:56:34BUYYes0.219$3.79
02:35:32SELLYes0.3420$6.80
20:55:45BUYNo0.5520$11.00
13:20:26SELLYes0.6520$13.00
13:17:21SELLYes0.5920$11.80
13:16:53BUYNo0.3820$7.60
13:08:47BUYYes0.6103$61.94
13:08:35BUYYes0.4960$29.39
11:42:28BUYYes0.3120$6.20
11:08:53BUYNo0.5720$11.40
23:17:03SELLNo0.4818$8.64
23:08:52BUYNo0.4540$18.00
23:08:21BUYNo0.4320$8.60
21:34:15BUYYes0.4980$39.20
19:48:01BUYYes0.3620$7.20
07:43:28BUYYes0.4360$25.80