PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.68. down 0.16 over the period, from 0.84. Range 0.39 to 0.84. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.695252
0.703082
0.95688
0.9650138
0.98124262
0.9922284

Spread0.02Mid0.68

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.677373
0.6670143
0.6420163
0.5934197
0.039206
0.0214220
0.0124244

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.337373
0.3470143
0.3620163
0.4134197
0.979206
0.9814220
0.9924244

Spread0.02Mid0.32

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.315252
0.303082
0.05688
0.0450138
0.02124262
0.0122284

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Vagabund97Yes251.53
HDGBYes214.92
SuperTestsYes40
cpctbusinessYes15
crossFiterYes11.71
pootytherewardfarmerYes5
MGSIVYes1.37
supman111No120.83
FihdrzgddNo103.38
leectramNo103.36
tradetosurvive1No42.78
naniotoNo34.02
LornaPredictsNo25.27
pppnnNo20
zudnoNo20
pmmmmmmmmmmmmmmNo20
maomao228No20
AJSVNo14.91
ZumalaNo11
xixihaha009No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:35:26SELLYes0.6218$10.93
00:20:40BUYNo0.345$1.70
00:17:16BUYNo0.336153846226$8.74
00:17:01BUYNo0.3221$6.72
23:40:58BUYNo0.354545454511$3.90
23:40:22BUYNo0.315$4.58
23:40:21BUYNo0.312$3.62
23:40:18BUYNo0.299999998359$17.57
23:40:18BUYNo0.320$6.00
22:58:58BUYYes0.61999999676$3.71
22:43:13BUYNo0.286$1.68
22:42:27BUYYes0.6820$13.60
22:42:27BUYYes0.674633273711$7.54
14:54:50BUYYes0.6920$13.80
12:09:27BUYNo0.318$5.29
12:09:26BUYNo0.39$2.65
12:09:06BUYNo0.318$5.29
12:08:47BUYNo0.2922$6.27
12:08:36BUYNo0.2922$6.27
12:08:09BUYNo0.2922$6.27
20:17:52SELLYes0.868$54.46
18:47:05BUYNo0.2511$2.73
18:20:03BUYYes0.7520$15.00
18:20:03BUYYes0.73283$206.59
18:11:48BUYYes0.72999981021$1.00