PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

zudno

0xcd33926ccba11b108f8b04faaf71de52c4fad16d

Realised P&L
$-153.77
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$6.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% before 2027? · No0.4900.315$6.30$3.50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0960.028$0.58$1.42
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) · Mexico0.3140.000$0.00$2.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00$2.00
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.4900.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Down0.9100.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Down0.2430.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:52Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 12%-15%?SELL0.14$2.80
09-17 15:52Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.2$4.00
09-17 15:52Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?SELL0.26$5.20
09-17 15:52Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?SELL0.44$8.80
09-17 15:52Will the Chargers win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.54$9.67
09-17 15:52Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?SELL0.23$4.60
09-13 20:17Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?BUY0.43$8.60
08-11 18:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.0379999641$1.00
08-11 17:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
07-06 00:52Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4899999941$40.00
07-04 21:21Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceBUY0.92$5.00
07-04 18:33Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-03 23:47Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1859999727$5.00
07-03 03:49Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.08$3.00
07-03 03:48Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.0824999251$1.00