zudno
0xcd33926ccba11b108f8b04faaf71de52c4fad16d
- Realised P&L
- $-153.77
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $6.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.12at 0.502Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$11.44at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$9.65at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$5.69at 0.260Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$5.60at 0.220Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:52 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 12%-15%? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-17 15:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 15:52 | Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-17 15:52 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-17 15:52 | Will the Chargers win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.54 | $9.67 |
| 09-17 15:52 | Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-13 20:17 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-11 18:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 17:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.0429999606 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 00:52 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4899999941 | $40.00 |
| 07-04 21:21 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 18:33 | Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 23:47 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1859999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 03:49 | Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 07-03 03:48 | Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.0824999251 | $1.00 |