PolyBot

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.55. Unchanged over the period, from 0.55. Range 0.28 to 0.60. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.565555
0.57251306
0.58195501
0.5921522
0.617529
0.625534
0.66231765
0.6796861
0.8150911
0.8235946
0.834981,444
0.84201,464

Spread0.02Mid0.55

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.549090
0.53221311
0.5090401
0.4620421
0.45276697
0.3390787
0.305792
0.194421,234
0.18101,244
0.15401,284
0.14401,324
0.081,2502,574

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.469090
0.47221311
0.5090401
0.5420421
0.55276697
0.6790787
0.705792
0.814421,234
0.82101,244
0.85401,284
0.86401,324
0.921,2502,574

Spread0.02Mid0.45

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.445555
0.43251306
0.42195501
0.4121522
0.397529
0.385534
0.34231765
0.3396861
0.1950911
0.1835946
0.174981,444
0.16201,464

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
GotGreenWoodYes868.64
SuperTestsYes172.49
xtxpleasecallmeYes164.75
jan-delarusYes114.24
hfvYes54.8
mavsgseguritasYes50
uwummnyYes50
PMWolfYes38.92
gfdgfvfvssddYes32.99
chrispaul0825Yes32
LornaPredictsYes25.44
johncashiYes20
financegaaaydogYes17.34
0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788Yes10
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes7.41
scotsbanYes4
cigarettesYes2.31
Started-with-20-USDNo1,394.29
FihdrzgddNo80
frontiertradeNo80

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:12:40BUYNo0.455$2.25
15:33:37BUYNo0.4522$9.79
11:30:42SELLNo0.460$0.17
11:30:40BUYYes0.5818$10.15
11:30:40BUYYes0.52144$74.88
01:01:19SELLYes0.5220$10.40
00:38:18SELLYes0.5320$10.60
23:50:43BUYNo0.412703003333$137.43
23:50:42BUYNo0.4740$18.80
23:50:42BUYNo0.4220$8.40
21:33:39BUYNo0.395$1.95
18:59:42SELLNo0.4221$8.82
13:04:52BUYYes0.557166932721$11.80
13:04:52BUYYes0.5555$30.25
10:57:24BUYNo0.4627$12.42
10:57:24BUYNo0.44101$44.44
07:31:24SELLNo0.4421$9.24
07:30:37BUYYes0.5488$47.52
07:30:36BUYYes0.5513$7.37
07:30:36BUYYes0.557$3.63
07:30:36BUYYes0.5420$10.80
17:28:45BUYYes0.4720$9.40
17:03:18SELLYes0.4213$5.42
17:02:57BUYNo0.566$3.31
17:02:57SELLYes0.456$2.66