PolyBot

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.35. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.36. Range 0.21 to 0.42. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.365454
0.372175
0.382095
0.6260155
0.7120175
0.9320195
0.956201
0.967208
0.9919227

Spread0.01Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.35657657
0.3490746
0.3342788
0.0311799
0.0228827
0.0114841

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.65657657
0.6690746
0.6742788
0.9711799
0.9828827
0.9914841

Spread0.01Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.645454
0.632175
0.622095
0.3860155
0.2920175
0.0720195
0.056201
0.047208
0.0119227

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SuperTestsYes251
GuyFromTinderYes82.57
2B9SYes72.1
feikoujiaoYes60
wmbennisYes55.11
0xbada…d874Yes54
lissartterYes18.62
winexecutescaleYes18
tradetosurvive1Yes16.19
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862Yes9.78
eatMakerYes3.6
AJSVYes3.57
OndraNo538.46
FihdrzgddNo70.45
spacexstarNo11
a5533No10
Mariane67No7.56
brydesNo7
pppnnNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:15:34BUYYes0.3621$7.56
21:34:31BUYYes0.366$2.16
14:14:49SELLNo0.6510$6.50
14:14:34SELLNo0.6521$13.36
07:00:49BUYNo0.6320$12.60
06:54:27SELLYes0.368571428621$7.74
06:16:30SELLNo0.6221$13.02
05:53:13SELLNo0.6320$12.60
05:50:51SELLNo0.6321$13.22
05:14:30SELLNo0.6419$12.16
04:29:36BUYYes0.3520$7.00
04:29:36BUYYes0.3521$7.35
00:54:25SELLYes0.3221$6.72
18:26:30BUYYes0.3521$7.35
17:07:57BUYYes0.356$2.10
14:54:00BUYNo0.684$2.72
14:53:59BUYYes0.329999990612$3.85
14:53:57BUYYes0.3310$3.30
14:53:57BUYYes0.3321$6.93
14:42:37SELLYes0.321$0.25
14:04:39SELLYes0.3215$4.66
12:25:46SELLYes0.3221$6.72
12:15:40BUYNo0.6821$14.13
11:58:49SELLYes0.328$2.72
11:24:58SELLYes0.329$2.94