Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 20 | 20 |
| 0.36 | 267 | 287 |
| 0.37 | 111 | 398 |
| 0.38 | 40 | 438 |
| 0.41 | 50 | 488 |
| 0.44 | 20 | 508 |
| 0.45 | 51 | 559 |
| 0.46 | 227 | 786 |
| 0.93 | 5 | 791 |
| 0.94 | 451 | 1,242 |
| 0.95 | 2,006 | 3,248 |
| 0.96 | 272 | 3,520 |
Spread0.02Mid0.34
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 75 | 75 |
| 0.32 | 215 | 290 |
| 0.31 | 20 | 310 |
| 0.30 | 153 | 463 |
| 0.25 | 66 | 529 |
| 0.24 | 295 | 824 |
| 0.18 | 50 | 874 |
| 0.05 | 5 | 880 |
| 0.04 | 752 | 1,632 |
| 0.03 | 3,333 | 4,965 |
| 0.02 | 5 | 4,970 |
| 0.01 | 20 | 4,990 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 75 | 75 |
| 0.68 | 215 | 290 |
| 0.69 | 20 | 310 |
| 0.70 | 153 | 463 |
| 0.75 | 66 | 529 |
| 0.76 | 295 | 824 |
| 0.82 | 50 | 874 |
| 0.95 | 5 | 880 |
| 0.96 | 752 | 1,632 |
| 0.97 | 3,333 | 4,965 |
| 0.98 | 5 | 4,970 |
| 0.99 | 20 | 4,990 |
Spread0.02Mid0.66
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | 20 | 20 |
| 0.64 | 267 | 287 |
| 0.63 | 111 | 398 |
| 0.62 | 40 | 438 |
| 0.59 | 50 | 488 |
| 0.56 | 20 | 508 |
| 0.55 | 51 | 559 |
| 0.54 | 227 | 786 |
| 0.07 | 5 | 791 |
| 0.06 | 451 | 1,242 |
| 0.05 | 2,006 | 3,248 |
| 0.04 | 272 | 3,520 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stonktrader | Yes | 2,383.88 |
| Started-with-20-USD | Yes | 1,180.11 |
| Alicie | Yes | 657.65 |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 633.98 |
| GotGreenWood | Yes | 292.83 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 254.81 |
| rocky42018 | Yes | 117.2 |
| alamedamemola | Yes | 99.99 |
| k7X9mP2qW4 | Yes | 90.2 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 30.12 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20.01 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 20 |
| financegaaaydog | Yes | 20 |
| pppnn | Yes | 18 |
| burge146 | Yes | 15.35 |
| clb-q | Yes | 6.06 |
| random-random123 | Yes | 5 |
| 0xF08c5A06964aAeC6E15EeB07e12E3A4B863f3295-1776713030461 | Yes | 5 |
| 0x28a6…d399 | Yes | 4.04 |
| eatMaker | Yes | 3.6 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:55:51 | BUY | Yes | 0.27 | 90 | $24.35 |
| 00:21:27 | BUY | Yes | 0.29 | 20 | $5.80 |
| 22:13:09 | SELL | Yes | 0.32 | 0 | $0.12 |
| 22:13:07 | BUY | No | 0.68 | 19 | $13.10 |
| 22:13:07 | BUY | No | 0.6799999917 | 19 | $13.11 |
| 22:13:07 | SELL | Yes | 0.32 | 90 | $28.68 |
| 13:33:46 | BUY | No | 0.65 | 40 | $26.00 |
| 06:24:01 | BUY | Yes | 0.3499999917 | 6 | $2.12 |
| 23:50:43 | BUY | Yes | 0.3418066066 | 333 | $113.82 |
| 22:16:58 | SELL | Yes | 0.32 | 30 | $9.61 |
| 22:13:07 | SELL | Yes | 0.4144069194 | 534 | $221.12 |
| 22:13:07 | BUY | No | 0.63 | 75 | $47.25 |
| 05:52:37 | SELL | No | 0.62 | 20 | $12.44 |
| 01:45:30 | BUY | No | 0.59 | 50 | $29.50 |
| 01:45:30 | BUY | No | 0.582248062 | 129 | $75.11 |
| 22:06:18 | BUY | No | 0.54 | 50 | $27.01 |
| 20:25:46 | BUY | No | 0.51 | 30 | $15.22 |
| 20:04:13 | BUY | No | 0.5299999992 | 50 | $26.51 |
| 19:39:01 | SELL | Yes | 0.42 | 50 | $21.00 |
| 19:38:48 | SELL | Yes | 0.4964285714 | 140 | $69.50 |
| 19:12:10 | SELL | No | 0.5 | 10 | $5.00 |
| 19:04:51 | SELL | No | 0.51 | 5 | $2.55 |
| 19:04:49 | SELL | No | 0.51 | 5 | $2.55 |
| 19:04:46 | SELL | No | 0.51 | 5 | $2.55 |
| 19:04:45 | SELL | No | 0.51 | 5 | $2.55 |