PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF08c5A06964aAeC6E15EeB07e12E3A4B863f3295-1776713030461

0xf08c5a06964aaec6e15eeb07e12e3a4b863f3295

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$125.7k
Markets traded
8,753
Open portfolio
$140.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,753
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration85.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.6000.565$44.63$2.77
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5100.475$30.88$2.27
Extended listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? · No0.7400.615$24.60$5.00
Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026? · Yes0.1560.210$10.69+$2.77
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4000.375$7.74$0.52
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting? · Yes0.4000.345$6.90$1.10
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.2200.135$4.05$2.55
Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · Yes0.1800.155$3.10$0.50
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.3400.085$2.55$7.65
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4800.415$2.08$0.33
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? · No0.8100.885$1.86+$0.16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes0.5800.535$1.10$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:06Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?SELL0.38$7.64
09-17 23:02Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?BUY0.16$6.40
09-17 23:02Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?BUY0.15$4.65
09-17 21:55Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?SELL0.39$23.40
09-17 21:00Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?SELL0.602$150.50
09-17 18:43Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.45$22.50
09-17 13:03Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.61$24.40
09-16 23:42Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?SELL0.29$8.70
09-16 12:56Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.31$5.02
09-16 08:18Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$6.90
09-16 07:55Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?SELL0.3947320478$66.73
09-16 07:01Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?SELL0.44$8.80
09-16 06:03Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?SELL0.42$8.40
09-16 06:03Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?SELL0.45$9.00
09-16 05:47Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?BUY0.39$12.87