Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 253 | 253 |
| 0.30 | 480 | 733 |
| 0.31 | 56 | 789 |
| 0.32 | 50 | 839 |
| 0.35 | 25 | 864 |
| 0.36 | 210 | 1,074 |
| 0.66 | 10 | 1,084 |
| 0.99 | 47 | 1,131 |
Spread0.02Mid0.28
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | 5,280 | 5,280 |
| 0.26 | 1,815 | 7,095 |
| 0.25 | 90 | 7,185 |
| 0.22 | 127 | 7,312 |
| 0.21 | 75 | 7,387 |
| 0.16 | 146 | 7,533 |
| 0.13 | 231 | 7,764 |
| 0.12 | 50 | 7,814 |
| 0.04 | 5 | 7,819 |
| 0.01 | 47 | 7,866 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | 5,280 | 5,280 |
| 0.74 | 1,815 | 7,095 |
| 0.75 | 90 | 7,185 |
| 0.78 | 127 | 7,312 |
| 0.79 | 75 | 7,387 |
| 0.84 | 146 | 7,533 |
| 0.87 | 231 | 7,764 |
| 0.88 | 50 | 7,814 |
| 0.96 | 5 | 7,819 |
| 0.99 | 47 | 7,866 |
Spread0.02Mid0.72
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | 253 | 253 |
| 0.70 | 480 | 733 |
| 0.69 | 56 | 789 |
| 0.68 | 50 | 839 |
| 0.65 | 25 | 864 |
| 0.64 | 210 | 1,074 |
| 0.34 | 10 | 1,084 |
| 0.01 | 47 | 1,131 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HDGB | Yes | 5,373.08 |
| Stonktrader | Yes | 3,473.57 |
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 1,667.81 |
| rocky42018 | Yes | 300 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 111.9 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | Yes | 84 |
| 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295 | Yes | 80 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 68.89 |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 65.86 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 54.47 |
| driphop | Yes | 50 |
| 0xa578…6702 | Yes | 30.01 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 30 |
| hp210210 | Yes | 25.36 |
| mavsgseguritas | Yes | 22.06 |
| Polimaki | Yes | 20 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 12.51 |
| Carabao | Yes | 12 |
| ddd1d43 | Yes | 10 |
| 0xF08c5A06964aAeC6E15EeB07e12E3A4B863f3295-1776713030461 | Yes | 6.54 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:13:28 | SELL | Yes | 0.28 | 121 | $33.88 |
| 01:45:06 | SELL | No | 0.71 | 20 | $14.20 |
| 01:45:04 | SELL | No | 0.72 | 30 | $21.60 |
| 01:45:01 | BUY | Yes | 0.27 | 111 | $29.97 |
| 01:40:34 | BUY | No | 0.74 | 20 | $14.80 |
| 22:49:01 | SELL | No | 0.74 | 56 | $41.44 |
| 14:01:33 | SELL | Yes | 0.24 | 60 | $14.40 |
| 14:01:13 | SELL | Yes | 0.26 | 28 | $7.28 |
| 14:01:12 | BUY | No | 0.69 | 350 | $241.50 |
| 09:52:07 | BUY | No | 0.7 | 59 | $41.30 |
| 07:49:57 | BUY | Yes | 0.29 | 7 | $2.03 |
| 07:49:57 | BUY | Yes | 0.28 | 77 | $21.56 |
| 07:18:55 | BUY | Yes | 0.2666336137 | 19 | $5.18 |
| 07:18:54 | BUY | Yes | 0.25 | 99 | $24.75 |
| 02:02:06 | BUY | Yes | 0.24 | 50 | $12.00 |
| 17:32:05 | SELL | Yes | 0.23 | 5 | $1.15 |
| 15:18:11 | SELL | Yes | 0.23 | 41 | $9.35 |
| 12:22:28 | BUY | No | 0.77 | 30 | $22.93 |
| 12:22:28 | SELL | Yes | 0.23 | 257 | $59.11 |
| 09:23:58 | SELL | No | 0.76 | 8 | $6.08 |
| 09:09:20 | BUY | No | 0.77 | 8 | $6.16 |
| 03:32:20 | SELL | Yes | 0.23 | 20 | $4.67 |
| 02:06:28 | SELL | No | 0.76 | 5 | $3.80 |
| 02:04:04 | BUY | No | 0.77 | 244 | $187.88 |
| 02:04:02 | BUY | No | 0.7699999947 | 51 | $39.00 |