PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.030. Range 0.024 to 0.034. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0362626
0.0371440
0.0415090
0.047200290
0.0548741,164
0.063501,214
0.5904351,649
0.91051,654
0.98971,661
0.99081,669
0.992381,707
0.9931871,894

Spread0.023Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0134040
0.0123979
0.0111,0001,079
0.0101001,179
0.004561,235
0.0031241,359
0.0025,7457,104
0.001100,885107,989

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9874040
0.9883979
0.9891,0001,079
0.9901001,179
0.996561,235
0.9971241,359
0.9985,7457,104
0.999100,885107,989

Spread0.023Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9642626
0.9631440
0.9595090
0.953200290
0.9468741,164
0.937501,214
0.4104351,649
0.09051,654
0.01171,661
0.01081,669
0.008381,707
0.0071871,894

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fledgerYes873.73
xtxpleasecallmeYes326.55
Dr.PNLYes274
lissartterYes52.91
Pol7StrategyBuilderYes50
Mithrandir.Yes50
SuperTestsYes43
superaiapiYes40.37
tradetosurvive1Yes35
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes26.02
HaradwaithYes14.3
ddadsfYes10
triklozoidYes5
PPMTYes4.9
TENETENETYes1.76
commeowderNo1,383.41
NoSteinNoGateNo160.6
cigarettesNo150
2B9SNo70
mavsgseguritasNo39.23

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:16:16BUYNo0.9879999961$1.00
02:31:16SELLYes0.01525$0.38
00:34:46BUYYes0.0425$1.00
21:37:21BUYYes0.02250$1.10
21:37:12SELLYes0.03250$1.60
21:37:05BUYNo0.96750$48.35
21:37:03BUYNo0.95924533161$154.05
05:39:08SELLNo0.94829$27.49
00:15:38BUYNo0.95199998329$27.84
19:04:30SELLNo0.947297$281.26
16:14:26SELLNo0.9520$19.00
14:04:00SELLNo0.9450$47.00
10:17:15SELLNo0.9450$47.00
09:57:18SELLNo0.94100$94.00
09:57:11SELLNo0.94100$94.00
09:57:08SELLNo0.940526850$47.03
09:51:20SELLNo0.94150$47.05
09:49:14SELLNo0.9428$7.75
09:49:12BUYYes0.059618352292$5.47
09:49:11BUYYes0.0541283394924$50.00
09:49:11BUYYes0.0564177100$5.64
17:00:17SELLYes0.0418$0.33
11:48:47SELLYes0.0462$0.07
07:11:35SELLNo0.9481$1.26
07:11:33SELLNo0.948871124247$44.99