PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.09 to 0.41. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.32250250
0.367257
0.696263
0.731,0001,263
0.74801,343
0.9681,351
0.97111,362
0.99671,429

Spread0.21Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.111010
0.064050
0.05200250
0.0311261
0.0239300
0.0165366

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.891010
0.944050
0.95200250
0.9711261
0.9839300
0.9965366

Spread0.21Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.68250250
0.647257
0.316263
0.271,0001,263
0.26801,343
0.0481,351
0.03111,362
0.01671,429

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes542.94
0xF9658C740E471db66F62Ec137157d7B9756dcCB0-1720347430903Yes40
weouthere0301Yes20
timeistmoneyYes20
just-bettorYes19
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519Yes7
0x1863…1cc6Yes3.14
CarabaoYes1
0xbbf6…7de7Yes1
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo200
almosthereNo171.73
HDGBNo129.31
financegaaaydogNo60.9
tradetosurvive1No54.13
GuyFromTinderNo22
0xf528…7e5bNo10.01
grinder1011No6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:43:44SELLNo0.729997540$29.20
19:52:48BUYYes0.15200$30.00
16:54:57BUYYes0.240$8.00
16:52:30SELLYes0.095$0.45
14:36:30BUYNo0.950$45.00
12:36:45BUYNo0.912$1.82
09:15:18BUYNo0.886$5.28
21:59:57SELLYes0.2920$5.80
20:44:14BUYYes0.299999989519$5.74
20:44:14SELLNo0.720$14.00
19:44:16BUYYes0.24188$45.14
17:32:17BUYYes0.21999999720$4.34
17:32:17BUYYes0.229999997469$15.84
15:17:40SELLYes0.1220$2.40
05:02:30SELLYes0.198$1.52
04:27:20SELLYes0.139$1.15
03:28:09SELLYes0.1334$4.42
17:29:47BUYYes0.148$1.12
17:29:45BUYYes0.13999999779$1.24
15:45:38SELLYes0.0920$1.80
15:42:14BUYYes0.1720$3.40
15:37:02SELLNo0.8954$48.06
15:18:47SELLYes0.1620$3.20
15:18:42SELLYes0.1610$1.60
15:18:41BUYNo0.8350$41.50