PolyBot

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Traders

0x1863bc52061000750fb73d66d5a4169bafb41cc6

0x1863bc52061000750fb73d66d5a4169bafb41cc6

Realised P&L
$-43.54
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$2.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.655$1.77+$0.07
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% in October? · Yes0.2700.225$0.71−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$7.60
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 4? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 12:33Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 4?SELL0.999$9.99
10-04 12:33Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 4?SELL0.999$5.00
10-04 00:51Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 4?BUY0.45$2.25
10-04 00:51Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 4?BUY0.42$4.20
10-04 00:51Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4?BUY0.4$7.60
10-04 00:51Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 4?BUY0.44$4.40
10-03 13:01Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 3?BUY0.01$7.85
10-03 06:48Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 3?BUY0.001$3.10
10-03 00:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.41$7.79
10-03 00:52Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.45$7.65
10-03 00:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?BUY0.382$7.64
10-03 00:11Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.49$7.84
10-03 00:11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.41$7.79
10-03 00:11Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 3?BUY0.48$7.68
10-03 00:11Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.36$7.92