PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.59. up 0.43 over the period, from 0.16. Range 0.08 to 0.69. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6055
0.902025
0.913863
0.9240103
0.945109
0.9536145
0.9673218
0.9772290
0.98119409
0.99123532

Spread0.01Mid0.59

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.592929
0.43736
0.422056
0.41100156
0.40150306
0.3150356
0.30152508
0.29296804
0.2220824
0.1165889
0.102001,089
0.03131,101

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.412929
0.57736
0.582056
0.59100156
0.60150306
0.6950356
0.70152508
0.71296804
0.7820824
0.8965889
0.902001,089
0.97131,101

Spread0.01Mid0.41

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4055
0.102025
0.093863
0.0840103
0.065109
0.0536145
0.0473218
0.0372290
0.02119409
0.01123532

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HDGBYes1,717.87
SuperTestsYes357.87
SuSuDORISYes200
FihdrzgddYes125
pootytherewardfarmerYes51.91
lissartterYes50
GotGreenWoodYes50
tinman2Yes50
InterestingUserYes41.72
frontiertradeYes30
crossFiterYes2.5
arrpadexYes1.76
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo400
NoSteinNoGateNo303.35
DancewithRiskNo296
Started-with-20-USDNo287
0xF08c5A06964aAeC6E15EeB07e12E3A4B863f3295-1776713030461No226.02
XAE12ArchangelNo221.13
0x888888888No150
Pol7StrategyBuilderNo100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:47:36SELLYes0.593$1.47
17:05:02BUYNo0.43$1.00
16:15:06SELLNo0.2716$4.22
15:39:06SELLNo0.35650$17.80
15:33:56SELLNo0.42172$72.24
15:33:54BUYYes0.588912008650$29.50
14:29:03BUYNo0.4555$24.95
14:08:20SELLNo0.5045909467109$54.96
14:07:45SELLNo0.5141$70.55
14:07:41SELLNo0.5445307275230$125.38
13:19:11BUYNo0.56999998862$1.00
12:38:17SELLNo0.5644$24.64
11:50:29SELLNo0.5554$29.61
10:50:26SELLNo0.56154$86.15
09:15:26SELLNo0.5923658942589$349.18
09:10:00SELLYes0.4135$14.35
09:09:56SELLYes0.425$2.18
09:09:54BUYNo0.5371423213666$357.98
03:40:59SELLNo0.52100$52.00
20:34:27SELLNo0.5450$27.00
20:20:48SELLNo0.4914$6.86
20:20:26SELLNo0.5650$28.00
20:04:23SELLNo0.5950$29.50
19:40:56BUYNo0.5775200$115.50
18:16:59BUYNo0.5329584048169$90.08