PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.06. down 0.52 over the period, from 0.58. Range 0.06 to 0.67. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.09464464
0.1150514
0.12100614
0.5020634
0.695639
0.9711650
0.9828678
0.9913691

Spread0.06Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03495495
0.0137532

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97495495
0.9937532

Spread0.06Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.91464464
0.8950514
0.88100614
0.5020634
0.315639
0.0311650
0.0228678
0.0113691

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
tradetosurvive1Yes60.71
LornaPredictsYes60
pootytherewardfarmerYes44.99
frontiertradeYes30
maomao228Yes20.01
barmaley78Yes20
pmqianbaolaileYes20
alphalab1Yes20
bechamelYes20
AJSVYes19.56
bjproloYes8
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519Yes5
pppnnYes4.89
cool.keithYes2
Adventure142No108.8
GaditimaNo100
whispercatalystNo60
0x6b25…7a69No46.47
MrYanDaoNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:34:12SELLYes0.056666666730$1.70
23:33:39SELLYes0.0810$0.80
23:33:36SELLYes0.0820$1.60
23:33:30BUYNo0.9220$18.29
23:33:28BUYNo0.9120$18.10
23:33:27BUYNo0.9100$90.00
23:33:27BUYNo0.940$36.00
23:33:27BUYNo0.920$18.00
17:15:06SELLYes0.091$0.06
13:17:01SELLYes0.091$0.06
06:14:03SELLYes0.031$0.02
06:13:42SELLYes0.045$0.20
06:10:01SELLYes0.0714$1.00
23:28:19BUYNo0.7520$15.00
18:34:27BUYNo0.611$6.51
18:34:24BUYNo0.609999999418$11.07
18:19:52BUYNo0.609999994317$10.66
08:14:06SELLYes0.3840$15.20
22:43:55SELLNo0.5541$22.66
15:27:37BUYNo0.42150$63.00