Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 25 | 25 |
| 0.16 | 1,620 | 1,645 |
| 0.17 | 316 | 1,961 |
| 0.18 | 100 | 2,061 |
| 0.25 | 50 | 2,111 |
| 0.29 | 162 | 2,273 |
| 0.34 | 15 | 2,288 |
| 0.58 | 98 | 2,386 |
| 0.59 | 435 | 2,821 |
| 0.85 | 161 | 2,982 |
| 0.86 | 714 | 3,696 |
| 0.87 | 122 | 3,818 |
Spread0.03Mid0.14
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | 48 | 48 |
| 0.11 | 879 | 926 |
| 0.10 | 2,262 | 3,188 |
| 0.09 | 4,174 | 7,362 |
| 0.07 | 286 | 7,648 |
| 0.06 | 333 | 7,981 |
| 0.05 | 619 | 8,600 |
| 0.04 | 135 | 8,736 |
| 0.03 | 672 | 9,407 |
| 0.02 | 761 | 10,168 |
| 0.01 | 1,014 | 11,182 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 48 | 48 |
| 0.89 | 879 | 926 |
| 0.90 | 2,262 | 3,188 |
| 0.91 | 4,174 | 7,362 |
| 0.93 | 286 | 7,648 |
| 0.94 | 333 | 7,981 |
| 0.95 | 619 | 8,600 |
| 0.96 | 135 | 8,736 |
| 0.97 | 672 | 9,407 |
| 0.98 | 761 | 10,168 |
| 0.99 | 1,014 | 11,182 |
Spread0.03Mid0.86
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 25 | 25 |
| 0.84 | 1,620 | 1,645 |
| 0.83 | 316 | 1,961 |
| 0.82 | 100 | 2,061 |
| 0.75 | 50 | 2,111 |
| 0.71 | 162 | 2,273 |
| 0.66 | 15 | 2,288 |
| 0.42 | 98 | 2,386 |
| 0.41 | 435 | 2,821 |
| 0.15 | 161 | 2,982 |
| 0.14 | 714 | 3,696 |
| 0.13 | 122 | 3,818 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HDGB | Yes | 2,964.74 |
| t4zuwbigfjnrs | Yes | 1,333 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 624.72 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 217.46 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 164.98 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 86 |
| 0xbbf6…7de7 | Yes | 85 |
| 0x11ea…1676 | Yes | 71.21 |
| just-bettor | Yes | 55 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 50 |
| commeowder | Yes | 49.98 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 25.62 |
| 0xF08c5A06964aAeC6E15EeB07e12E3A4B863f3295-1776713030461 | Yes | 23.68 |
| D222222222 | Yes | 20 |
| pppnn | Yes | 20 |
| burge146 | Yes | 18.19 |
| superaiapi | Yes | 12.22 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 10.01 |
| lissartter | Yes | 6.16 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 2.68 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30:06 | BUY | Yes | 0.13 | 50 | $6.50 |
| 12:16:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.11 | 20 | $2.20 |
| 12:16:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.11 | 5 | $0.55 |
| 12:16:22 | BUY | No | 0.89 | 30 | $26.70 |
| 12:16:22 | BUY | No | 0.88 | 75 | $66.00 |
| 12:16:22 | BUY | No | 0.89 | 20 | $17.80 |
| 11:44:27 | BUY | No | 0.87 | 451 | $392.37 |
| 11:44:27 | BUY | No | 0.88 | 40 | $35.20 |
| 11:44:27 | BUY | No | 0.88 | 34 | $30.07 |
| 11:44:27 | BUY | No | 0.8799999953 | 135 | $118.71 |
| 11:44:27 | BUY | No | 0.88 | 20 | $17.60 |
| 11:44:27 | BUY | No | 0.88 | 40 | $35.20 |
| 11:44:25 | BUY | No | 0.88 | 20 | $17.60 |
| 02:49:28 | SELL | No | 0.86 | 20 | $17.20 |
| 04:31:58 | SELL | No | 0.85 | 151 | $128.52 |
| 03:45:37 | BUY | Yes | 0.15 | 99 | $14.85 |
| 20:23:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.14 | 20 | $2.80 |
| 19:29:18 | BUY | Yes | 0.1488235294 | 255 | $37.95 |
| 17:55:58 | SELL | No | 0.852500125 | 200 | $170.49 |
| 11:58:08 | BUY | No | 0.87 | 153 | $133.11 |
| 07:52:07 | BUY | Yes | 0.13 | 30 | $3.90 |
| 07:04:37 | BUY | No | 0.87 | 30 | $26.10 |
| 07:03:16 | BUY | Yes | 0.13 | 50 | $6.50 |
| 20:09:33 | BUY | No | 0.87 | 28 | $24.36 |
| 16:47:41 | SELL | No | 0.85 | 38 | $32.30 |