PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.63. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.58. Range 0.41 to 0.79. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.914040
0.95545
0.971156
0.98135191
0.9920211

Spread0.56Mid0.63

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.358080
0.2820100
0.0316116
0.02319435
0.0117452

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.658080
0.7220100
0.9716116
0.98319435
0.9917452

Spread0.56Mid0.37

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.094040
0.05545
0.031156
0.02135191
0.0120211

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes258.18
FihdrzgddYes59.99
0x51ae4fd822503E81Be9eA9d5D5E76500C309CE30-1760263931291Yes51.25
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40
hp210210Yes23.56
tacorYes23.51
tradetosurvive1Yes15
HenriIVYes7.7
financegaaaydogYes1.8
0x36Cd7491B8979f176095700019912b20719e89b6-1770944907258No149.99
sunnynotbunnyNo134.21
just-bettorNo80
NoSteinNoGateNo47.29
youtube-traderNo20
GuyFromTinderNo20
0xb327…0fccNo20
navberNo5
0x0e3d…52abNo4.49

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:16:47BUYNo0.3920$7.80
00:33:17BUYYes0.750$35.00
21:29:14BUYNo0.355$1.75
21:27:57BUYNo0.355$1.75
21:22:15BUYNo0.355$1.75
21:18:50BUYNo0.45$2.00
20:10:39BUYYes0.7160$42.60
17:08:09BUYYes0.7320$14.60
14:59:36BUYYes0.742$29.33
13:58:02BUYYes0.6630$19.80
08:18:40BUYNo0.3420$6.80
00:31:06BUYYes0.6440$25.60
21:39:47BUYYes0.68$4.80
21:39:22BUYNo0.3882249157139$54.13
21:14:16BUYNo0.4120$8.20
16:34:20SELLYes0.5740$22.80
10:55:44BUYNo0.4320$8.60
10:50:35BUYNo0.3780$29.60
07:07:23SELLNo0.3920$7.70
05:57:38SELLNo0.523$11.63
12:39:44BUYNo0.948$43.20
04:24:04BUYNo0.3320$6.60
23:51:37BUYNo0.055$0.26
23:48:23SELLNo0.048$0.31
23:48:17BUYNo0.738$5.62