LordVarys
0xb327b180576612511045915c71c8098055090fcc
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $192.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,158
- Open portfolio
- $91.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,158
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.411 | 0.535 | $21.40 | +$4.95 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.504 | 0.440 | $17.60 | −$2.55 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in October? · No | 0.968 | 0.958 | $13.40 | −$0.15 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.585 | $11.70 | +$0.50 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.495 | $7.42 | −$6.08 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October? · No | 0.362 | 0.365 | $7.30 | +$0.05 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in October? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.290 | $4.06 | +$3.78 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.570 | $2.85 | +$0.45 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $172 in October? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.520 | $2.60 | −$0.35 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.445 | $2.23 | +$0.07 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.155 | $0.78 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.111Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$539.59at 0.152Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
- +$219.16at 0.119Will CD Atlético Baleares win on 2025-12-04?
- +$210.38at 0.320Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-24?
- +$201.00at 0.330Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 05:28 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $172 in October? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 10-12 21:29 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-12 21:29 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-12 21:27 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-12 21:27 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-12 21:22 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-12 21:22 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-12 21:18 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 21:18 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-12 20:22 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-12 17:56 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in October? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-11 18:26 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.24 |
| 10-11 17:38 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.16 |
| 10-11 15:48 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-11 15:48 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |