PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LordVarys

0xb327b180576612511045915c71c8098055090fcc

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$192.8k
Markets traded
1,158
Open portfolio
$91.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,158
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4110.535$21.40+$4.95
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5040.440$17.60−$2.55
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in October? · No0.9680.958$13.40−$0.15
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? · Yes0.5600.585$11.70+$0.50
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October? · Yes0.9000.495$7.42−$6.08
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October? · No0.3620.365$7.30+$0.05
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in October? · Yes0.0200.290$4.06+$3.78
Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? · No0.4800.570$2.85+$0.45
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $172 in October? · Yes0.5900.520$2.60−$0.35
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.445$2.23+$0.07
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.2200.155$0.78−$0.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 05:28Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $172 in October?BUY0.59$2.95
10-12 21:29Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?BUY0.35$1.75
10-12 21:29Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?BUY0.57$2.85
10-12 21:27Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?BUY0.57$2.85
10-12 21:27Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?BUY0.35$1.75
10-12 21:22Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?BUY0.35$1.75
10-12 21:22Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?BUY0.57$2.85
10-12 21:18Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?BUY0.4$2.00
10-12 21:18Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?BUY0.53$2.65
10-12 20:22Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.22$1.10
10-12 17:56Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in October?BUY0.24$1.20
10-11 18:26Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?SELL0.44$1.24
10-11 17:38Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?BUY0.41$1.16
10-11 15:48Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.51$2.55
10-11 15:48Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.41$2.05