PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.38. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.44. Range 0.22 to 0.58. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.522020
0.954060
0.96280340
0.975345
0.987352
0.9939392

Spread0.35Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.171010
0.102131
0.05536
0.042056
0.012279

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.831010
0.902131
0.95536
0.962056
0.992279

Spread0.35Mid0.66

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.482020
0.054060
0.04280340
0.035345
0.027352
0.0139392

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes93.81
grinder1011Yes58.16
tacorYes20
cloverpmq2Yes20
timeistmoneyYes20
hithitfarYes18.5
ScoopdewhoopYes13.01
PerformSleepStateYes6.09
kor-and-mYes4
GuyFromTinderYes1.38
johnashboughNo80
commeowderNo50
youtube-traderNo20
cigarettesNo20
financegaaaydogNo20
chaosj89No20
mavsgseguritasNo17.95
just-bettorNo9.98
4salesNo7
pbspreadNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:34:07SELLNo0.557$3.86
16:13:09BUYYes0.3520$7.00
15:51:04SELLYes0.1515$2.26
15:34:07BUYYes0.2920$5.80
14:17:17BUYYes0.2512$3.00
14:17:17BUYYes0.2514$3.50
14:17:17BUYYes0.267$1.69
13:53:41SELLYes0.2820$5.60
13:10:53BUYYes0.2312$2.76
13:10:51BUYYes0.22999998196$1.40
13:09:50BUYNo0.797920$15.96
12:58:17BUYNo0.687$4.76
12:57:36BUYYes0.3320$6.60
12:56:57SELLYes0.33177$58.36
12:46:27SELLNo0.5820$11.60
06:59:38SELLNo0.631666666730$18.95
06:57:29SELLNo0.590$0.06
06:57:23BUYNo0.965$4.90
06:57:22BUYNo0.777580$62.20
01:13:16BUYNo0.5325$13.25
13:59:47BUYYes0.3420$6.80
13:58:20SELLNo0.6420$12.80
02:23:51BUYYes0.4120$8.19
01:48:44SELLNo0.620$12.00
23:07:05BUYYes0.37160$59.20