4sales
0x953900aec918b1a1e857f31abb9cdb1256e6267b
- Realised P&L
- $-90.55
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $881.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.41at 0.296Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
- +$102.08at 0.285Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$97.52at 0.530Romanian PM Bolojan out by September 30?
- +$76.38at 0.524Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$75.32at 0.247Will Trump say "ICE" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:57 | Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | SELL | 0.922 | $27.66 |
| 10-15 03:57 | Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | SELL | 0.922 | $9.22 |
| 10-14 22:40 | Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | BUY | 0.89 | $29.37 |
| 10-14 21:13 | Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 10-14 21:13 | Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 10-14 21:02 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.04 |
| 10-14 20:56 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.66 | $85.14 |
| 10-14 18:01 | Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | BUY | 0.37 | $0.14 |
| 10-14 15:57 | Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? | BUY | 0.34 | $8.50 |
| 10-14 15:16 | Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? | BUY | 0.33 | $4.95 |
| 10-14 14:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.06 |
| 10-14 14:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.12 |
| 10-14 14:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 10-14 14:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 10-14 14:11 | Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.04 |