pbspread
0x4fac8bf47192e5a95744b7135e64c910c57520ce
- Realised P&L
- $291.88
- Volume
- $39.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,585
- Open portfolio
- $19.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,585
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.40at 0.300Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$51.10at 0.310Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$46.74at 0.180Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$41.27at 0.450Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$33.51at 0.457T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Leicestershire
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:54 | Solana Up or Down - August 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $3.85 |
| 08-04 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $4.20 |
| 08-04 14:38 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 08-04 10:45 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 10:45 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.729999996 | $14.61 |
| 08-04 06:22 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 06:22 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1151677202 | $1.43 |
| 08-04 03:26 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 03:25 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2034714201 | $1.87 |
| 08-03 18:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999883 | $4.45 |
| 08-03 18:24 | XRP Up or Down - August 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999681 | $6.63 |
| 08-03 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.729999992 | $7.32 |