PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.071. up 0.007 over the period, from 0.064. Range 0.029 to 0.117. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0806060
0.08194154
0.082100254
0.084375629
0.085100729
0.08751780
0.091200980
0.0929989
0.094501,039
0.145971,136
0.7751171,253
0.7761971,450

Spread0.019Mid0.071

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.061103103
0.060430533
0.058150683
0.05784767
0.054230997
0.046501,047
0.0362991,346
0.033161,362
0.032301,392
0.0311501,542
0.0301901,732
0.029831,815

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.939103103
0.940430533
0.942150683
0.94384767
0.946230997
0.954501,047
0.9642991,346
0.967161,362
0.968301,392
0.9691501,542
0.9701901,732
0.971831,815

Spread0.019Mid0.929

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9206060
0.91994154
0.918100254
0.916375629
0.915100729
0.91351780
0.909200980
0.9089989
0.906501,039
0.855971,136
0.2251171,253
0.2241971,450

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OndraYes1,749.91
OverlookHotelYes726.45
0xd309…d769Yes647.78
Dr.PNLYes589.34
moneybagsmannionYes150
planktonXDYes117
bechamelYes100
FihdrzgddYes100
tymeduYes100
pppnnYes94.36
0x7712…c1faYes90.55
25oodksmsss09Yes81.59
0xbEFFB2418B31ad29527eF79Ae8f4bC6E118508E4-1773345861012Yes79.27
fibonachoYes62.74
PITON2026Yes50
GuyFromTinderYes50
tinman2Yes50
poopedpantsYes50
AJSVYes42.68
86fghYes40.28

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:09:21BUYNo0.9189399968740$679.98
06:28:21BUYNo0.9169453493109$100.00
05:26:55BUYYes0.10250$5.10
04:56:13SELLYes0.08950$4.45
03:50:46SELLNo0.9119$16.84
18:32:39BUYNo0.925958847724$22.50
18:12:30BUYYes0.0814807896201$16.39
18:07:04SELLYes0.07515$1.10
17:49:19BUYNo0.9224089775244$225.43
17:20:15BUYNo0.918560942407$373.65
12:41:27BUYYes0.09950$4.95
12:06:16BUYNo0.9027$6.31
12:06:16SELLYes0.09833$3.23
12:01:49BUYYes0.09810$0.98
11:14:54BUYNo0.9251$1.00
10:37:28SELLYes0.07433$2.44
10:37:25SELLYes0.07530$2.25
10:36:46SELLYes0.073153846265$4.76
10:18:45SELLNo0.2275$1.20
10:18:31SELLNo0.91550$45.75
10:18:24SELLNo0.91550$45.75
10:18:24SELLNo0.89919850$44.96
10:18:24SELLNo0.90450$45.20
10:18:24SELLNo0.905250$45.26
10:18:24SELLNo0.91450$45.70