PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.054. up 0.029 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.025 to 0.058. 148 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.05955
0.060100105
0.06180185
0.064100285
0.0673,0023,287
0.06953,292
0.0761273,419
0.078803,499
0.0846664,165
0.087204,185
0.1451004,285
0.150104,295

Spread0.010Mid0.054

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0492020
0.0482343
0.0475699
0.046127225
0.03926252
0.03866318
0.037178496
0.03320516
0.032100616
0.030100716
0.029100816
0.028100916

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9512020
0.9522343
0.9535699
0.954127225
0.96126252
0.96266318
0.963178496
0.96720516
0.968100616
0.970100716
0.971100816
0.972100916

Spread0.010Mid0.946

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.94155
0.940100105
0.93980185
0.936100285
0.9333,0023,287
0.93153,292
0.9241273,419
0.922803,499
0.9166664,165
0.913204,185
0.8551004,285
0.850104,295

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
bigdickprickYes5,347.96
NoSteinNoGateYes3,356.47
dave12345Yes1,143.66
JuulessYes755.74
OverlookHotelYes726.45
ethicalcryptoguyYes500
StanGrossmanYes479.01
mavsgseguritasYes465.07
paranounYes461.36
tradetosurvive1Yes426.71
manthansYes414.98
stanmktmakerYes411.8
funnydayYes400
HDGBYes362.38
JossuchYes359.55
LiquidifierYes344.46
0xd24B7F5a1dFC83aaDE34c789525fF42DAb9218EE-1775738073524Yes267.93
xtxpleasecallmeYes246.76
hp210210Yes224.55
0xcD380Ca24C873558E9434F08C8388B28c85209a8-1721982826345Yes202.16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:04:15SELLNo0.94142$39.52
12:56:30BUYNo0.95210$9.52
18:19:53SELLNo0.940696864143$40.50
18:19:50BUYYes0.0556252704360$20.00
18:19:50BUYYes0.0593562181195$11.55
17:51:20BUYYes0.051665208439$2.00
13:23:01BUYNo0.96620$19.32
13:22:56SELLYes0.0397195161124$4.93
09:52:43SELLNo0.9521$1.14
09:15:13BUYYes0.0495$0.25
07:20:40SELLYes0.04816$0.77
07:19:58SELLYes0.0485$0.24
06:59:55SELLYes0.049006933375$3.68
06:57:50SELLYes0.0525$1.25
06:56:52SELLYes0.0520$1.00
06:45:47BUYNo0.95219$17.71
06:45:44SELLYes0.04831$1.49
06:41:53SELLYes0.04829$1.39
22:37:20SELLNo0.93520$18.70
22:37:12SELLNo0.9343$2.59
22:37:06SELLNo0.93541420$18.71
22:36:14SELLNo0.94517$16.27
22:33:50BUYYes0.0494663452202$10.00
22:33:48BUYYes0.055999999987$4.85
13:52:47BUYYes0.027100$2.70