ethicalcryptoguy
0xafb8e1af8ff3bae6e72c79a75fe71f9f58f84822
- Realised P&L
- $829.25
- Volume
- $46.1k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $239.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$324.03at 0.176Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
- +$183.32at 0.649Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
- +$140.00at 0.650Will England vs. India end in a draw?
- +$85.00at 0.558Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
- +$80.40at 0.196Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 21:07 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 10:29 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 10-28 07:39 | Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 10-28 07:11 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 10-23 10:50 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $52.50 |
| 10-08 14:34 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.191 | $12.42 |
| 10-08 08:10 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.183 | $27.45 |
| 10-02 13:09 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.45 | $16.74 |
| 09-29 18:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.54 | $16.20 |
| 09-25 15:34 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 02:17 | Solana Up or Down - September 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 02:16 | Solana Up or Down - September 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2341463323 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 02:12 | Solana Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1142857143 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3072078645 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 14:23 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | SELL | 0.51 | $12.75 |