PolyBot

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Traders

ethicalcryptoguy

0xafb8e1af8ff3bae6e72c79a75fe71f9f58f84822

Realised P&L
$829.25
Volume
$46.1k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$239.48

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? · No0.4200.460$46.00+$4.00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2200.436$43.65+$21.65
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3100.275$34.38−$4.38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · Yes0.0540.055$27.50+$0.50
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? · Yes0.2510.365$23.92+$7.44
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0020.015$23.08+$19.61
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027? · Yes0.2500.330$16.50+$4.00
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0800.075$9.38−$0.63
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0820.110$5.50+$1.40
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? · Yes0.5300.525$5.25−$0.05
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.5600.290$4.10−$3.82
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? · Yes0.0050.001$0.22−$2.01
Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$49.60
Will Zimbabwe win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$5.40
Solana Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Down0.1140.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 21:07Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.08$10.00
10-29 10:29Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?BUY0.23$23.00
10-28 07:39Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?BUY0.42$42.00
10-28 07:11Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.22$22.00
10-23 10:50Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?SELL0.35$52.50
10-08 14:34Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.191$12.42
10-08 08:10Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.183$27.45
10-02 13:09Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?SELL0.45$16.74
09-29 18:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.54$16.20
09-25 15:34Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?BUY0.25$50.00
09-25 02:17Solana Up or Down - September 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETBUY0.0899999969$2.00
09-25 02:16Solana Up or Down - September 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETBUY0.2341463323$2.00
09-25 02:12Solana Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.1142857143$2.00
09-25 02:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.3072078645$5.00
09-24 14:23Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?SELL0.51$12.75