PolyBot

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Traders

paranoun

0x698852b18f872c5e0ab2c464c2e00b39d1f0f556

Realised P&L
$-615.59
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$65.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1700.075$30.75$38.95
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1400.055$11.00$17.00
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.025$9.80$38.20
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.1500.043$8.50$21.50
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9430.986$5.23+$0.23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.1200.000$0.00$10.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$10.80
09-11 08:09Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.81$100.44
05-24 09:28US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL0.9779108182$107.57
05-24 07:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.8460052857$177.66
05-16 09:58Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.14$28.00
05-16 09:52Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$48.00
05-16 09:49Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.17$51.00
05-16 09:43US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.94$103.40
05-16 09:22Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.17$18.70
05-11 13:23Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.23$23.00
05-11 13:18Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?BUY0.14$21.00
05-02 07:58Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?BUY0.17$20.40
04-14 12:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.73$25.55
04-14 12:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.87$26.10
04-07 13:12Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.35$313.25