0xcD380Ca24C873558E9434F08C8388B28c85209a8-1721982826345
0xcd380ca24c873558e9434f08c8388b28c85209a8
- Realised P&L
- $158.24
- Volume
- $29.7k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $51.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$458.11at 0.084Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?
- +$331.99at 0.100Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?
- +$174.19at 0.243Germany confidence vote in 2024?
- +$149.52at 0.211Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?
- +$89.52at 0.090Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 22:33 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.0494663452 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 22:58 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.74 |
| 10-26 22:55 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 22:50 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 08:18 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.07 |
| 02-23 10:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.029 | $3.77 |
| 02-21 15:41 | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.00 |
| 02-17 21:36 | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0997804829 | $50.00 |
| 02-12 07:28 | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 02-12 07:27 | Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | SELL | 0.4702177273 | $103.45 |
| 01-22 03:26 | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999766 | $4.00 |
| 11-06 00:34 | Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | BUY | 0.0396432111 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:54 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.21 | $63.00 |
| 10-19 17:55 | Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.13 | $28.60 |
| 10-14 06:43 | Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition | BUY | 0.14 | $42.00 |