PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcD380Ca24C873558E9434F08C8388B28c85209a8-1721982826345

0xcd380ca24c873558e9434f08c8388b28c85209a8

Realised P&L
$158.24
Volume
$29.7k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$51.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3000.345$34.50+$4.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · Yes0.0490.055$11.12+$1.12
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.019$5.85−$0.15
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0240.011$0.47−$0.60
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$50.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00−$60.00
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$60.00
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$4.00
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$14.00
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$24.00
Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$8.00
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$63.00
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 22:33Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?BUY0.0494663452$10.00
10-26 22:58Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$0.74
10-26 22:55Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.01$1.00
10-26 22:50Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3$30.00
09-28 08:18Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.024$1.07
02-23 10:53Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.029$3.77
02-21 15:41US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?BUY0.08$24.00
02-17 21:36US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?BUY0.0997804829$50.00
02-12 07:28US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?BUY0.05$25.00
02-12 07:27Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?SELL0.4702177273$103.45
01-22 03:26US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY0.1099999766$4.00
11-06 00:34Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?BUY0.0396432111$10.00
10-19 18:54Maduro out in 2025?BUY0.21$63.00
10-19 17:55Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?BUY0.13$28.60
10-14 06:43Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionBUY0.14$42.00