PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. up 0.06 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.07 to 0.61. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3766
0.392026
0.993965

Spread0.24Mid0.25

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.132121
0.122950
0.112070
0.041181
0.0380161
0.026167
0.0126193

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.872121
0.882950
0.892070
0.961181
0.9780161
0.986167
0.9926193

Spread0.24Mid0.75

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6366
0.612026
0.013965

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x586972cad8192c6f8de9b59c65e1e42250cef493-1791387722851Yes1,601.3
AJSVYes459.17
Rogoio7Yes127
0xd27b…9947Yes117.73
2B9SYes76
0xbe08…a0a0Yes40
SmartBoyBillyYes21
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes6.01
hih999Yes2
MasterOfMankindNo847.16
SkalizNo499.98
bonalddrunkNo354
johnashboughNo168.47
tradetosurvive1No103.61
1walrusNo81
rar111No80
mavsgseguritasNo61
erdos-baconatorNo61
tacorNo50
0x6bd2671189761274417e66D1F6a834ecdBb695f6-1761995156221No37.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:23:49BUYYes0.1320$2.60
06:37:14SELLNo0.8927580$71.42
05:59:19BUYNo0.909045498111$10.00
05:59:18BUYNo0.89999997419$17.32
23:40:54BUYYes0.1240$4.81
10:32:44SELLYes0.140$4.00
09:55:38BUYYes0.110476190521$2.32
07:11:14BUYYes0.1120$2.21
07:05:13BUYNo0.920$18.00
05:38:39BUYYes0.12319$38.32
05:10:36SELLYes0.063574235168$10.68
21:25:43BUYNo0.8880$70.40
21:25:41BUYNo0.916$5.71
16:26:37BUYNo0.87999971842$2.00
16:46:27SELLYes0.1320$2.60
16:02:48BUYNo0.820235293590$73.92
16:02:48BUYNo0.8320$16.60
08:03:51BUYNo0.8450$42.00
04:46:18BUYNo0.8315$12.45
04:39:01BUYNo0.8314$11.62
04:28:52BUYNo0.820235287520$16.80
00:40:26BUYNo0.8410$8.40
22:04:34BUYNo0.8510$8.50
17:02:04BUYNo0.8531$26.35
16:44:17BUYNo0.8510$8.50