0xbe0839ace8167e27a91baff64f1e1f05ee69a0a0
0xbe0839ace8167e27a91baff64f1e1f05ee69a0a0
- Realised P&L
- $-894.75
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $129.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.880 | $88.00 | +$66.00 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.034 | $37.68 | −$16.31 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.081 | $2.02 | −$3.48 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.030 | $1.41 | −$13.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.49at 0.331Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 2, 2026?
- +$25.11at 0.048Will no press briefing air by August 31?
- +$21.90at 0.332Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
- +$6.91at 0.280US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
- +$6.73at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:15 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.0421052632 | $4.00 |
| 10-03 15:41 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 10-03 08:36 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.049340352 | $49.99 |
| 08-20 15:58 | Will no press briefing air by August 31? | SELL | 0.211 | $35.17 |
| 08-17 17:55 | Will no press briefing air by August 31? | SELL | 0.033837293 | $1.88 |
| 08-17 17:54 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-17 17:54 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.5104310345 | $6.51 |
| 08-17 17:54 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.20 |
| 08-17 17:53 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0130902899 | $4.57 |
| 08-17 17:53 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | SELL | 0.49 | $7.40 |
| 08-08 19:15 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | BUY | 0.4899999927 | $7.40 |
| 08-08 09:10 | Will "Super Troopers 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? | BUY | 0.0638663263 | $2.58 |
| 08-08 09:10 | Will "Super Troopers 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? | BUY | 0.0489048037 | $11.00 |
| 08-07 14:47 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.0696920651 | $14.53 |
| 08-03 10:15 | Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? | BUY | 0.0389999923 | $5.00 |