PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.021. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.026. Range 0.018 to 0.126. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0319090
0.03550140
0.0361,0001,140
0.058291,169
0.1491391,308
0.150301,338
0.22051,343
0.34061,349
0.740401,389
0.977171,406
0.978211,427
0.979951,522

Spread0.021Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010179179
0.002100279
0.0017311,010

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990179179
0.998100279
0.9997311,010

Spread0.021Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9699090
0.96550140
0.9641,0001,140
0.942291,169
0.8511391,308
0.850301,338
0.78051,343
0.66061,349
0.260401,389
0.023171,406
0.022211,427
0.021951,522

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes138.7
planktonXDYes102.65
tradetosurvive1Yes84.91
LornaPredictsYes78.46
pootytherewardfarmerYes54
pppnnYes50
a5533Yes50
AJSVYes40
rocky42005Yes40
PPMTYes30
brightKongYes28.84
HerrieDavisYes18.47
procrypterYes15.73
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes6
rar111No265
cookedquailNo171.3
AlAhmedaNo164.22
MrYanDaoNo102.19
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862No20.06
0xbada…d874No12.83

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:50:45BUYNo0.98417$16.50
09:36:48BUYNo0.983428571470$68.84
18:24:34BUYNo0.9829999981$1.00
11:55:52SELLYes0.0142$0.02
18:18:28SELLNo0.96411$10.60
00:33:09SELLNo0.95419$18.11
00:10:34SELLYes0.05229$1.50
21:14:37BUYNo0.949200$189.80
21:14:16BUYNo0.94665$61.49
20:27:03BUYNo0.945706889125$23.65
16:41:37BUYNo0.97799989241$1.00
14:05:48BUYNo0.98044188479$77.44
09:10:13SELLNo0.9619$18.28
03:14:28SELLYes0.0122$0.02
02:28:13SELLYes0.0121$0.01
16:37:09BUYNo0.9462$58.14
16:28:25BUYNo0.9259$54.28
16:18:49BUYNo0.9220$18.46
15:30:37BUYNo0.87171$149.03
14:14:01SELLNo0.854$3.40
14:14:00SELLNo0.8540$34.00
14:13:58SELLNo0.8510$8.50
13:28:51SELLYes0.1586$12.95
13:07:34SELLYes0.1470858315127$18.64
13:05:25SELLNo0.815$4.05