PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.40 over the period, from 0.47. Range 0.07 to 0.47. 112 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.08450450
0.091,4151,865
0.101,7963,661
0.111,5075,168
0.121,0306,198
0.135106,708
0.141536,861
0.171,0007,861
0.181,0008,861
0.191098,969
0.4578,976
0.633129,289

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.072525
0.062,6942,719
0.053,7206,438
0.044,41510,853
0.035,00015,853
0.0250016,353
0.01816,361

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.932525
0.942,6942,719
0.953,7206,438
0.964,41510,853
0.975,00015,853
0.9850016,353
0.99816,361

Spread0.01Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.92450450
0.911,4151,865
0.901,7963,661
0.891,5075,168
0.881,0306,198
0.875106,708
0.861536,861
0.831,0007,861
0.821,0008,861
0.811098,969
0.5578,976
0.373129,289

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HDGBYes294.78
HaradwaithYes108.74
wheathermanYes60
lissartterYes54.96
AJSVYes40.46
0x4629…f3b1Yes30.01
pootytherewardfarmerYes23
0x0d3dbEA9C4707F50Bc4bDd4cfcB034CfaeDcaa93-1772305407452Yes20.21
bechamelYes20
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes20
MaxwellBot32-2Yes15
naniotoYes7
tradetosurvive1Yes5
chaosj89Yes2.64
0xB16B00B5No460
commeowderNo124.99
SuperTestsNo110
trader-c6777f27No5
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo1.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:39:53SELLYes0.0720$1.40
04:18:42BUYYes0.123$2.29
04:18:41BUYNo0.9220$18.63
16:50:08SELLNo0.892$1.66
14:01:29SELLYes0.120$2.00
14:01:20SELLYes0.120$2.00
14:01:17SELLYes0.102540$4.10
14:01:16SELLYes0.12140$16.80
14:01:16BUYNo0.8920$17.80
14:01:16BUYNo0.8920$17.80
08:06:55SELLYes0.120$0.03
04:00:44BUYNo0.8718$15.77
04:00:44BUYNo0.859999998222$18.80
04:00:44BUYNo0.8722$19.02
04:00:44BUYNo0.869999995520$17.21
04:00:44BUYNo0.860930465220$17.21
04:00:43BUYNo0.8460$50.40
01:18:23BUYNo0.845$4.20
01:18:22BUYNo0.84400$336.00
19:51:13SELLYes0.1630$4.76
03:29:02BUYYes0.1820$3.60
03:29:00SELLNo0.82275$225.47
03:29:00BUYYes0.17999999820$3.56
02:34:03SELLNo0.8215$12.30
02:33:57SELLNo0.7910$7.90