PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.021. up 0.007 over the period, from 0.015. Range 0.013 to 0.066. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0322020
0.033356375
0.03580455
0.03984539
0.04270609
0.043242851
0.04420871
0.06270941
0.063701,011
0.171401,051
0.5904831,534
0.91051,539

Spread0.022Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010148148
0.00920168
0.00879247
0.00730277
0.00694372
0.00531403
0.004201604
0.0037941,398
0.0021,0492,447
0.00117,43719,883

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990148148
0.99120168
0.99279247
0.99330277
0.99494372
0.99531403
0.996201604
0.9977941,398
0.9981,0492,447
0.99917,43719,883

Spread0.022Mid0.979

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9682020
0.967356375
0.96580455
0.96184539
0.95870609
0.957242851
0.95620871
0.93870941
0.937701,011
0.829401,051
0.4104831,534
0.09051,539

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
kotyakayebakaYes296
xtxpleasecallmeYes268.89
trader3106Yes133.22
0x35df…cf97Yes128.21
chaosj89Yes101.21
HaradwaithYes59.83
0xAc8fcd246ffBD0b44a4B674A761EbCB3DA243BC4-1765080785633Yes52.93
phkzYes45
karttitanYes33.33
ChairmanFedYes29.99
0x0c4e…8eaaYes25
0x434f…8266Yes25
0xaaed…c8c4Yes22.06
BearnaiseYes20.01
0xc9f6…d9f7Yes5
53asdadYes4.53
abc1231112441Yes2.08
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes2.01
25oodksmsss09Yes1.61
SkalizNo200

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:32:36BUYYes0.034006477130$1.02
01:37:54BUYYes0.03226$0.82
22:28:21BUYYes0.0339$0.28
22:08:37BUYYes0.0336$0.19
21:14:24SELLYes0.02720$0.54
21:13:51SELLYes0.019$0.09
21:13:25SELLYes0.013199826646$0.61
21:12:09BUYNo0.963094248895$91.42
21:05:24BUYYes0.03220$0.64
21:04:49BUYNo0.967999999970$67.75
19:15:45SELLYes0.015$0.05
19:15:25BUYYes0.039109$4.26
17:36:34BUYYes0.039148$5.77
17:36:04BUYYes0.0333583108148$4.94
04:47:26SELLNo0.9829$28.42
04:13:02BUYYes0.01741$0.69
04:13:02BUYYes0.01761$1.03
13:59:18BUYNo0.9972$2.00
04:43:09BUYNo0.984124$122.03
03:14:25SELLNo0.9832$1.92
06:18:28SELLNo0.9830$0.19
22:04:40SELLNo0.9835$4.98
08:51:57SELLYes0.01625$0.40
08:43:04SELLYes0.01210$0.11
06:14:55SELLYes0.01638$0.61