0xaaeda5b0456458a4e7d11b4a66c1d50ae369c8c4
0xaaeda5b0456458a4e7d11b4a66c1d50ae369c8c4
- Realised P&L
- $-68.73
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.025 | $0.55 | −$1.45 |
| Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.27at 0.550Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5
- +$-2.00at 0.008Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$-2.00at 0.049Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
- +$-2.00at 0.230Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- +$-2.00at 0.007Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-13 14:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 14:08 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.0077294686 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 14:02 | Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 13:53 | Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0540000001 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 13:52 | Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 13:50 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BUY | 0.0485884336 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 13:46 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.090659986 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 13:39 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.00 |
| 02-04 23:05 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $14.00 |
| 02-04 23:01 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 02-04 22:59 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 02-04 22:58 | Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.549999989 | $15.00 |
| 02-04 22:56 | Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |